Sturm Graz II vs WSPG Wels Prediction - 22nd November 2025

This Saturday evening clash in the Austrian 2. Liga pits two sides desperately trying to climb away from the relegation zone. Sturm Graz II sit 14th with 10 points, while WSPG Wels are just one point behind in 15th place, making this a crucial six-pointer at the bottom of the table. Looking at recent form, Sturm Graz II have shown some signs of life with 4 points from their last three games. They secured a valuable 2-1 away victory against Austria Salzburg and followed that with a creditable 1-1 home draw against second-placed Admira Wacker. However, their home record remains concerning with just a 16.67% win rate at their own ground this season. WSPG Wels, meanwhile, are in dire straits especially on their travels. They've lost all four of their recent away matches and are conceding an alarming 3.25 goals per game on the road. Their recent form shows decline with just one point from their last three outings, though they did manage a 3-2 home victory over Rapid Wien II in their only win from the last ten games. The defensive statistics for both sides make grim reading. Neither team can keep clean sheets with both registering just 10% clean sheet rates. What's more telling is that both teams have high both teams to score percentages - Sturm Graz II at 60% and WSPG Wels at 70% in their recent matches. WSPG Wels' away defensive record is particularly concerning. In their last four away games, they've been shipping goals at an alarming rate, which suggests Sturm Graz II should get opportunities to score. Conversely, WSPG Wels have been finding the net regularly with 1.40 goals per game overall, and they've scored in 7 of their last 10 matches. The goal expectancy data points towards a high-scoring affair with home side expected to score around 2.12 goals and the visitors 1.71. Given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and the importance of the match potentially leading to open play, goals look highly likely. While Sturm Graz II might have the edge due to home advantage and their opponent's terrible away form, their own defensive issues mean this is unlikely to be a clean sheet affair. The value appears to lie in both teams finding the net in what should be an open, end-to-end encounter between two sides who know they need to attack to climb the table.