Notts County vs Gillingham Prediction - 3rd February 2026

League Two's form side Notts County welcome a Gillingham team searching for consistency in what promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. With the hosts sitting 5th on 51 points and riding a four-game winning streak, they'll be looking to cement their playoff credentials against a Gillingham side languishing in 14th with just two wins from their last ten outings. Notts County's recent results tell a compelling story of a team hitting their stride at the perfect time. Their 2-1 victory over Fleetwood Town on January 31st marked their fourth consecutive league win, following triumphs against Swindon Town (2-1), Crewe (1-0), and Crawley Town (2-1). What's particularly impressive is the quality of opposition they've overcome – Swindon sit 6th with strong form (1.60 points per game), while Crewe (10th) and Fleetwood (15th) are no pushovers. Their only recent setbacks came against Accrington ST (0-1) and Chesterfield (0-2), both teams showing decent form themselves. Gillingham's journey has been far rockier. Their 4-1 demolition by league leaders Bromley on January 31st exposed their vulnerability against top opposition. Before that heavy defeat, they managed a goalless draw with struggling Cheltenham and a 3-0 win over bottom-placed Harrogate Town. The pattern is clear: Gillingham can compete with and beat weaker sides (Newport County, Harrogate) but struggle against teams in the upper echelons. Their away form shows just 0.80 goals scored per game, though they've been reasonably solid defensively on the road, conceding only 0.80 per game. Statistically, Notts County hold clear advantages. They average 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded over their last ten, compared to Gillingham's 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. At home, County maintain a 60% win rate, scoring 1.20 and conceding 0.80 per game. Their possession-based approach (51.4% average, rising to 56.8% at home) and superior pass accuracy (73.2% vs Gillingham's 62.3%) suggest they'll control proceedings. The head-to-head record adds intrigue – Gillingham lead 5-4 with no draws in nine meetings, including a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture on September 13th. However, at Meadow Lane, Notts County have won two and lost two of their four encounters. Six of the nine meetings have seen over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open contest could be in store. Key Points: • Notts County have won four consecutive league games, beating sides positioned 6th, 10th, 15th, and 19th • Gillingham have won just twice in their last ten matches (20% win rate) • County average 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded over last ten; Gillingham average 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded • At home, Notts County win 60% of games; Gillingham win just 20% away • Head-to-head favors Gillingham 5-4, but County have won 2 of 4 home meetings • Six of nine historical meetings produced over 2.5 goals This matchup pits momentum against history. Notts County's current form, home advantage, and superior league position make them strong favorites. Gillingham's resilience on the road (0.80 goals conceded per away game) suggests they won't roll over easily, but County's attacking quality should prove decisive. The value lies with the in-form hosts at attractive odds.