Super League
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction - 20th May 2026
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 12:00Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.76
Implied Probability
56.8%
Expected Value
+20%
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Yunnan Yukun Preview & Prediction
Analysis
This Super League clash pits second-placed Chongqing Tongliang Long against third-placed Yunnan Yukun, with the two sides separated by a single point in the standings. Both teams enter this fixture in strong form, boasting identical points-per-game averages of 1.60 over their last 10 matches. The statistical landscape points toward an open, attacking encounter where defensive solidity is likely to be tested.
Chongqing Tongliang Long has been a consistent force at home, winning 40% and drawing 60% of their last five home games. They average 1.80 goals scored per home match while conceding 1.20. Their recent 10-game record shows a 70% Both Teams to Score rate, and they have scored in every home fixture this season. Statistically, they generate 8.1 shots per game with 3.8 on target, maintaining a 48.4% shot accuracy. Their goals scored trend is currently improving, and their mathematical analysis shows a positive trajectory in attack despite a slight decline in points trend.
Yunnan Yukun arrives with a formidable away record, having won 60% of their last five road fixtures. They average 2.20 goals scored away from home, with a 70% BTTS rate in their last 10 matches. Yunnan's attacking metrics are impressive, averaging 14.3 shots per game and 5.2 on target, translating to a 2.00 goals-per-game scoring rate overall. Their away defensive record shows 1.80 goals conceded per game, which aligns perfectly with Chongqing's attacking output. Yunnan's points trend is also improving, and their recent 1-0 victory over Shanghai Shenhua demonstrates their ability to grind out results while still maintaining offensive threat.
Head-to-head data strongly reinforces the expectation of goals. In four previous meetings, three matches have seen both teams score. The most recent encounter ended 3-2 to Chongqing, and the average total goals in this fixture stands at 2.25. Both teams have a 70% BTTS rate over their last 10 games, and the historical H2H BTTS rate is 75%.
Goal expectancy models project a combined 3.50 goals for this match (1.80 for Chongqing, 1.70 for Yunnan). The market prices Both Teams to Score at 1.76, implying a 56.8% probability. Given the consistent attacking outputs, defensive vulnerabilities, and historical trends, the value lies firmly on both sides finding the net. We are backing Both Teams to Score.