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Saburtalo II3-0Kolkheti Khobi
La Liga

Mallorca vs Real Sociedad Prediction - 28th February 2026

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 17:30
Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.80
Implied Probability
55.6%
Expected Value
+17%

Goals Expected as Real Sociedad Visit Struggling Mallorca

Analysis

La Liga's relegation battlers Mallorca welcome mid-table Real Sociedad to the Visit Mallorca Stadium in a fixture that promises entertainment if recent form is any guide. Mallorca find themselves in deep trouble, sitting 18th with just 24 points from 25 games. Their last 10 matches make for grim reading: six defeats, two draws, and only two victories, averaging a meagre 0.80 points per game. They've been particularly vulnerable defensively, shipping 18 goals in that stretch (1.80 per game), including heavy 3-0 reverses against Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, plus a 2-0 home defeat to Celta Vigo. However, the islanders aren't completely toothless at home. They've managed 1.80 goals per game in their last five home fixtures, highlighted by a thumping 4-1 victory over Sevilla and a 3-2 triumph against Athletic Club. This suggests they can punish teams who don't take them seriously. Real Sociedad arrive in starkly contrasting form. The Basque side have collected 21 points from their last 10 games (2.10 PPG) and sit comfortably in 10th. Their recent resume includes a statement 2-1 victory away at league leaders Barcelona, plus home wins against Celta Vigo (3-1) and Elche (3-1). Yet there's a compelling trend in Real Sociedad's matches that catches the eye: goals at both ends. In their last 10 games, both teams have scored in a remarkable 90% of fixtures. They've found the net 21 times (2.10 per game) but conceded 16 (1.60 per game), keeping just one clean sheet. Even in their impressive run, they've leaked goals - drawing 3-3 with bottom-placed Oviedo and losing 4-1 to Real Madrid. The head-to-head record favours Real Sociedad (4 wins to Mallorca's 2 in the last 9), though these encounters have traditionally been tight, low-scoring affairs historically. That trend looks set to break given current attacking and defensive patterns. **Key Points:** - Real Sociedad have seen BTTS land in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%) - Mallorca average 1.80 goals per game at home despite their league position - Real Sociedad concede 1.60 goals per game away from home with only 10% clean sheets - Goal expectancies suggest a 1.70 vs 1.50 contest, indicating an open game - Mallorca's recent home wins against Sevilla (4-1) and Athletic Club (3-2) prove they can score against mid-table opposition The value lies in the both teams to score market. Real Sociedad's defensive generosity combined with their attacking prowess creates the perfect environment for goals. Mallorca desperately need points and have shown they can score at home, while Real Sociedad's high-line, attacking approach leaves space for counter-attacks. At 1.80, BTTS Yes offers solid value given the statistical trends.