Osasuna vs Levante Prediction - 8th December 2025

This Monday night clash at El Sadar pits two relegation-threatened sides against each other in what could be a crucial six-pointer. Osasuna sits 17th with 12 points, while Levante languishes in 19th with just 9 points, making this a must-win encounter for both teams. Looking at recent form, both sides have been struggling but show different patterns. Osasuna's last 10 games show 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, but they've been involved in some high-scoring affairs. Their recent results include a thrilling 5-3 Copa del Rey victory over Ebro, a 2-2 draw with Mallorca, and a 1-3 home defeat to Real Sociedad. Notably, they're averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game, indicating defensive frailties alongside attacking intent. Levante's form is similarly concerning with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10. However, their away form has been surprisingly better than home performances, winning 3 of their last 7 away matches (42.86% win rate). They've been more conservative in attack, averaging just 1.10 goals per game, but concede at the same rate as Osasuna (1.60 per game). Recent results include a 1-0 Copa win over Cieza, but league defeats to Athletic Club (0-2), Valencia (1-0), and Atletico Madrid (1-3). The head-to-head record is evenly balanced with Osasuna winning 4, Levante 3, and 2 draws from 9 meetings. At home, Osasuna has a 50% win rate against Levante (2 wins from 4 home encounters). Statistical analysis reveals some interesting trends. Osasuna has been improving their goalscoring while their defensive performance has been declining. Levante shows the opposite pattern with declining attack but improving defense. Both teams have identical clean sheet rates of just 20%, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. The venue analysis shows Osasuna's home form has been poor recently (33.33% win rate in last 3 home games), while Levante's away form has been relatively solid (42.86% win rate in last 7 away games). This could neutralize Osasuna's home advantage. Given both teams' defensive struggles and the importance of the match, we could see an open game with chances at both ends. Osasuna's recent games have averaged over 3 goals per game, and Levante have shown they can score on their travels. The goal expectancy model projects 3.36 goals for this match, supporting the over 2.5 goals market.