Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau Prediction - 22nd August 2026

Sturm Graz host Austria Lustenau in a Bundesliga clash where the hosts look to extend their perfect record against this opponent. Sturm Graz sit 4th in the table with 7 points from 3 games, carrying strong momentum into this fixture. Their home form has been exceptional, boasting an 80% win rate across their last 5 home matches. At home, Sturm Graz average 2.00 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.40 goals per game, demonstrating a solid defensive foundation combined with consistent attacking output. Austria Lustenau, currently 6th with 4 points, face a difficult task away from home. Their away record is a stark contrast to their home performances, with only a 20% win rate over their last 5 away games. They average just 0.60 goals scored per game on the road while conceding 1.00 goals per game. Their recent 2-1 victory over Wolfsberger AC was a bright spot, but their overall away metrics suggest they struggle to break down organized defenses away from home. The head-to-head record heavily favors Sturm Graz. In the last 5 meetings, Sturm Graz have won all 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and keeping 5 clean sheets. Austria Lustenau have failed to score a single goal in these encounters. Sturm Graz's home record against Lustenau is perfect, with 2 wins from 2 games, highlighting a tactical and psychological edge that has persisted over time. Statistically, Sturm Graz generate 16.14 shots per game with 4.43 on target, showing their ability to create high-quality chances. Austria Lustenau average 16.00 shots but their shot accuracy drops significantly away from home. The goal expectancies for this match are 1.50 for Sturm Graz and 0.50 for Austria Lustenau, pointing to a controlled performance from the hosts. While the odds for a home win are short at 1.36, the combination of Sturm Graz's home dominance, Austria Lustenau's away struggles, and the absolute H2H record provides the necessary confidence for this selection. The data supports a comfortable victory for Sturm Graz, making the home win the most reliable option for this fixture.