Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax Prediction - 5th December 2025

This Friday night clash presents a fascinating contrast between a mid-table side finding their groove and a struggling team battling at the bottom. Almere City FC, sitting 11th with 23 points, have shown signs of life recently with 5 wins in their last 10 games, while Jong Ajax languish in 19th with just 12 points and only 2 victories all season. The home side's recent form has been particularly impressive, averaging 1.70 points per game and scoring 1.80 goals per match. They've notched some convincing wins lately, including a 3-0 demolition of VVV Venlo and a 4-0 thrashing of MVV. However, their defensive frailties were exposed in a 5-2 loss to Den Bosch, showing they can be vulnerable against motivated opposition. Jong Ajax's season has been nothing short of disastrous. With a measly 0.70 points per game average and only 1 win in their last 10 matches, they're the league's second-worst team. Their away form is especially dire - 0% win rate in their last 4 away trips, conceding 2.25 goals per game on the road. Their only recent bright spot was a 2-0 home win against Vitesse, but even that came against a side struggling near the bottom. The head-to-head history heavily favors Almere City FC, who've won 5 of 7 meetings. Interestingly, while Almere have dominated at home (2-0-2 record), they've actually won all 3 away encounters. The last meeting ended 2-0 in Almere's favor. Looking at the attacking stats, Almere City FC create significantly more chances - averaging 15.50 shots per game compared to Jong Ajax's 11.40. The home side also boast better shot accuracy (38.8% vs 35.3%) and earn more corners (7.10 vs 4.10). While Jong Ajax enjoy slightly more possession (52.7% vs 47.5%), they've been far less effective in converting it into meaningful opportunities. The goal environment suggests we could see plenty of action. Almere are averaging 2.20 goals at home, while Jong Ajax are shipping 2.25 goals away from home. Both teams have shown they can score, with BTTS landing in 50% of Almere's games and 70% of Jong Ajax's matches. Given the massive gap in form, home advantage, and historical dominance, Almere City FC look strong favorites. However, Jong Ajax's desperation and Almere's occasional defensive lapses make the Both Teams to Score market particularly appealing.