2. Division
Ishøj vs Fremad Amager Prediction - 11th April 2026
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 12:00Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.98
Implied Probability
50.5%
Expected Value
+19%
Ishøj vs Fremad Amager - 2. Division Preview
Analysis
The 2. Division clash between Ishøj and Fremad Amager presents a clear disparity in form and performance metrics. Ishøj enters the fixture in poor shape, having recorded zero wins in their last 10 games. Their points per game average sits at just 0.40, while their defensive record is concerning, conceding an average of 1.90 goals per game. At home, Ishøj has failed to secure a win in their last four matches, managing a 75% draw rate and 25% loss rate in that specific venue analysis.
In stark contrast, Fremad Amager arrives with momentum. Their last 10 games show a 50% win rate, averaging 1.90 points per game. Defensively, they are exceptional, boasting an 80% clean sheet rate and conceding only 0.40 goals per game. Their away form is particularly strong, with a 66.67% win rate in their last three away fixtures. The head-to-head record further favors the visitors; Amager has won 3 of the last 6 meetings, including the most recent encounter on 2026-03-14, which ended 0-1 in Amager's favor.
Goal expectancy models suggest a low-scoring affair, with Ishøj expected to score 0.57 goals and Amager 1.17 goals. However, Amager's defensive solidity is the most compelling signal. They have not conceded a single goal in their last three away games. Given Ishøj's struggle to score (0.75 goals per game at home) and Amager's ability to keep clean sheets, the away win appears to be the most statistically supported outcome.
The betting market reflects this disparity, offering odds of 1.98 for an Away Win. This implies a probability of roughly 50.5%, but the data suggests a true probability closer to 60%, providing a value edge. With Ishøj winless in 10 games and Amager flying high, the risk of a home victory is minimal.
Key Points:
- Ishøj has 0 wins in their last 10 games (0.40 PPG).
- Fremad Amager has 5 wins in their last 10 games (1.90 PPG).
- Amager has an 80% clean sheet rate overall and 0 goals conceded in last 3 away games.
- Last H2H meeting: Amager won 1-0.
- Goal expectancy favors a low-scoring match, but Amager's attack is reliable.
In summary, the form gap is too significant to ignore. The recommended bet is an Away Win.