QPR vs Hull City Prediction - 22nd November 2025

This Championship clash presents a fascinating contrast in form and fortune. Hull City arrive in west London sitting pretty in 5th place with 25 points, having amassed an impressive 20 points from their last 10 games (6W-2D-2L). Their attacking prowess has been particularly noteworthy, averaging 1.9 goals per game during this period. QPR, meanwhile, find themselves languishing in 16th place with just 19 points. Their recent form tells a concerning story - only 12 points from 10 games (3W-3D-4L) and a paltry 0.8 goals scored per game. The home form is especially alarming, with just one win from their last five matches at their own ground. Recent results paint a grim picture: a 1-2 loss to Southampton, a humiliating 1-4 defeat against Ipswich, and another 1-2 loss to Millwall. The statistical disparity is stark. Hull City boast a 40.6% shot accuracy compared to QPR's meager 27.4%, while averaging 4.2 shots on target versus QPR's 3.7. Hull's away form, while not flawless, still shows a respectable 50% win rate on the road, including a convincing 2-0 victory at Norwich in their last away fixture. Head-to-head history suggests goals are likely, with 7 of the 9 previous meetings featuring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 5 of those encounters. The last meeting ended 2-1, continuing the trend of competitive, high-scoring affairs. QPR's defensive record at home is concerning, conceding 1.6 goals per game, while Hull's attacking numbers on the road remain strong at 1.75 goals per away game. However, Hull's away defense isn't impervious, shipping 1.5 goals per game on their travels, suggesting QPR might find the net despite their offensive struggles. The goal expectancy model reinforces this narrative, projecting 1.15 goals for QPR and 1.68 for Hull City - both teams expected to score in what should be an open encounter. Key Points: • Hull City's superior form (2.0 PPG vs QPR's 1.2 PPG) • QPR's dreadful home record (20% win rate, 1.6 goals conceded per game) • Hull's attacking firepower (1.9 goals per game) • Historical H2H shows high-scoring games (7/9 over 2.5 goals) • Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities (low clean sheet percentages) Given the attacking quality of Hull City against QPR's leaky home defense, combined with both teams' tendency to concede, the value lies in both teams finding the net in this encounter.