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Slovácko1-1Vysočina Jihlava
Segunda Liga

Vizela vs Feirense Prediction - 1st December 2025

Monday, December 1, 2025 at 18:00
Prediction
HOME WIN
Odds
1.73
Implied Probability
57.8%
Expected Value
+12%

Vizela Set to Continue Dominance Over Struggling Feirense

Analysis

This Segunda Liga clash presents a clear mismatch between two teams heading in opposite directions. Vizela, sitting pretty in 4th place with 19 points, host a Feirense side languishing in 11th with just 12 points. The gulf in quality is evident when you dig into the numbers. Vizela's recent form shows a solid if unspectacular side that knows how to get results. They've picked up 13 points from their last 10 games (1.30 PPG), scoring and conceding at identical rates of 1.2 goals per game. Their home form is particularly encouraging - winning 50% of their last 4 home matches while averaging 1.5 goals scored. Recent results include a convincing 2-0 victory over Leixoes and a hard-fought 1-0 win against Oliveirense. Feirense, by contrast, are in freefall. Just 8 points from their last 10 games (0.80 PPG) tells the story of a team struggling for confidence. Their away form is abysmal - losing 66.67% of their last 6 road trips while managing a paltry 0.83 goals per game. Recent defeats include a 3-2 loss to Sporting CP B and a 2-0 reverse against Benfica B, showing they can't compete with the better sides. The head-to-head record makes for grim reading for Feirense fans. Four meetings, zero wins for Feirense. Vizela have won twice and drawn twice, outscoring their opponents 8-2. Most damningly, the last encounter ended in a 5-0 rout for Vizela. Both teams tend to be involved in tight, low-scoring affairs. Vizela's home games average 2.75 goals, while Feirense's away matches see just 2.33 goals per game. With both sides averaging under 1.5 goals scored per game overall, this has the makings of a cagey encounter. The betting market has Vizela as clear favorites at 1.73, which looks generous given the massive disparity in form, league position, and historical dominance. Feirense's woeful away record - just one win in six attempts - suggests they're unlikely to cause an upset here. Key Points: • Vizela sit 7 points clear of Feirense in the league table • Vizela have never lost to Feirense in 4 previous meetings (2W, 2D) • Feirense have lost 66.67% of their away games this season • Vizela score 1.5 goals per game at home vs Feirense's 0.83 away • Both teams average under 1.5 goals scored per game overall • Last meeting ended 5-0 to Vizela Given the overwhelming evidence pointing to a Vizela victory - superior league position, better recent form, perfect head-to-head record, and Feirense's dreadful away performances - the home win represents excellent value at 1.73.