De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag Prediction - 22nd March 2026

De Graafschap hosts ADO Den Haag in a crucial Eerste Divisie fixture on March 22, 2026. The league standings tell a clear story of dominance. ADO Den Haag sits comfortably in 1st place with 74 points from 32 games, boasting a 24-win record. De Graafschap sits in 3rd with 52 points from 31 games, a significant gap of 22 points. Form analysis highlights the disparity. ADO Den Haag has won 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Their defensive record is particularly impressive, with a 70% clean sheet rate in the last 10 matches, conceding only 0.60 goals per game on average. Away from home, ADO maintains an 80% win rate in their last 5 away fixtures, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.40. De Graafschap presents a mixed picture. Their last 10 games show 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses (1.50 points per game). At home, they score 1.83 goals per game but concede 1.67. While they are a solid 3rd-placed team, their head-to-head record against ADO is a major concern for the home side. In 9 historical meetings, ADO has won 5 times. Crucially, in the last 4 meetings at De Graafschap's home venue, the hosts have failed to secure a single victory (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). The last meeting on November 25, 2025, ended 2-3 in favor of ADO. Given ADO's league-leading form, their superior defensive record, and the psychological edge provided by the head-to-head history, the away team appears to hold the upper hand. The betting market prices an ADO win at 2.02, implying roughly a 49.5% chance. Based on the statistical dominance and H2H record, the true probability likely exceeds 60%. **Key Points:** - ADO Den Haag leads the Eerste Divisie table with 74 points, 22 clear of 3rd-placed De Graafschap. - ADO has a 70% clean sheet rate in their last 10 games. - De Graafschap has 0 wins against ADO at home in the last 4 meetings. - ADO's away win rate in last 5 games is 80%. - Odds for Away Win are 2.02. **Summary:** The data strongly favors ADO Den Haag for an Away Win.