Alaves vs Celta Vigo Prediction - 22nd November 2025

This La Liga clash presents an intriguing contrast between Alaves's home solidity and Celta Vigo's explosive away form. While Alaves sits 10th in the table with a respectable 15 points, it's Celta Vigo's recent performances that catch the eye despite their lower league position. Celta Vigo has been in sensational form on their travels, winning 4 of their last 5 away games and scoring an impressive 2.20 goals per game away from home. Their recent results include a 3-2 victory at Osasuna and a 2-1 win at Levante, showcasing their ability to find the net consistently on the road. Even in defeat, they managed to score twice against Barcelona at home. Alaves, meanwhile, has been inconsistent at home. While they've won 50% of their last 4 home matches, several have been tight, low-scoring affairs including a 0-0 draw with Valencia and narrow 1-0 defeats to Girona and Rayo Vallecano. However, they did show attacking intent in a 2-1 victory over Espanyol and a 3-1 win against Elche. The head-to-head record heavily favors Celta Vigo (6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), though recent meetings have been more competitive with a 1-1 draw in their last encounter. Statistically, this match has all the ingredients for goals. Celta Vigo has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 games, while averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Alaves, while more defensively solid (0.80 goals conceded per game), still manages 1.50 goals per game at home. The goal expectancy model suggests 2.85 total goals in this match, with both teams expected to score. Given Celta Vigo's attacking prowess away from home and Alaves's ability to score at their own ground, the Both Teams to Score market offers excellent value at 1.95. Key Points: • Celta Vigo has won 80% of their last 5 away games • Celta Vigo scores 2.20 goals per game away from home • Both teams have scored in 80% of Celta Vigo's last 10 matches • Alaves scores 1.50 goals per game at home • Head-to-head favors Celta Vigo but recent meetings have been closer • Goal expectancy suggests 2.85 total goals in this match With Celta Vigo's free-scoring away form and Alaves's home attacking capability, backing both teams to score provides the best value in this encounter.