Falkenbergs FF vs Varbergs BoIS FC Prediction - 13th May 2026

Falkenbergs FF host Varbergs BoIS FC in a Superettan clash that promises an entertaining encounter between two in-form sides. Falkenbergs enter this fixture sitting second in the table with 12 points from six matches, boasting an impressive 60% win rate and an unblemished record of six wins and four draws across their last ten games. Their home form is particularly formidable, with an 83.33% win rate and a defensive record of just 0.67 goals conceded per game at their home ground. Varbergs BoIS FC, currently seventh with nine points, have also been solid, securing 50% wins in their last ten outings. While their away form shows a 50% win rate, they have consistently found the net, averaging 1.75 goals per game on the road. Both teams are showing improving trends in their defensive outputs, yet their attacking records remain potent, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair. Historically, this fixture has been a goal-fest. In the last ten meetings, 80% of matches have seen over 2.5 goals, and both teams have found the net in 70% of those encounters. The most recent meeting in August 2025 ended 3-2 to Varbergs, highlighting the open nature of this rivalry. Falkenbergs' recent form shows a 70% BTTS rate, while Varbergs sits at 60%, reinforcing the likelihood of an open game. Mathematical models project a combined goal expectancy of roughly 2.75 goals (Home 1.54, Away 1.21). When cross-referenced with the market odds, the implied probability for both teams to score sits around 59.9%, while our statistical assessment places the true probability closer to 63%. This offers a positive expected value edge. The consistent scoring records, combined with the historical trend of both sides trading blows, make the Both Teams to Score market the most logical selection. Key Points: - Falkenbergs FF are unbeaten in their last 10 matches (6W, 4D) with a strong 83.33% home win rate. - Varbergs BoIS FC have won 50% of their last 10 games and average 1.75 goals per away match. - Head-to-head history shows 70% of meetings have seen both teams score. - Poisson models estimate a combined goal expectancy of 2.75, aligning with a 63% probability for BTTS. - Both teams show improving defensive trends but maintain high attacking outputs. Our prediction for this fixture is a Both Teams to Score (Yes) bet.