Motherwell vs Hibernian Prediction - 25th November 2025

This Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hibernian pits two closely matched sides against each other, with just three points separating them in the table. Motherwell sit 6th with 18 points, while Hibernian occupy 3rd place with 21 points, making this a potentially crucial encounter in the battle for European qualification spots. Motherwell's recent form shows a team capable of explosive performances but also prone to defensive lapses. They've scored 16 goals in their last 10 games (1.6 per game) but have also conceded 13 (1.3 per game). Their home record is particularly interesting - they've won 50% of their last 4 home games but also lost 50%, including a surprising 1-4 defeat to ST Mirren in the League Cup. However, they bounced back with an impressive 3-1 victory at Kilmarnock in their most recent outing. Hibernian arrive with a more defensive mindset, having kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 matches and conceding just 0.9 goals per game. Their recent form includes solid wins against Dundee (2-0), ST Mirren (3-0), and Aberdeen (2-1), though they did suffer a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Rangers. Away from home, they've been draw specialists with a 42.86% draw rate, but they've also shown they can score on the road with 1.29 goals per game. The head-to-head record between these sides is fascinatingly balanced overall (3 wins each, 2 draws), but recent encounters have heavily favored Hibernian. The last three meetings all ended in Hibs victories with scores of 1-3, 0-3, and 2-1. Crucially for our betting analysis, 7 of the 8 total meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have found the net in 6 of those 8 encounters. Statistically, Motherwell dominate possession (60.4% vs 46.1%) but Hibernian are more clinical in front of goal (41.1% shot accuracy vs 35.4%). The goal expectancy model projects a tight affair with Motherwell expected to score 1.32 goals and Hibernian 1.39, suggesting both teams are likely to get on the scoresheet. Given Motherwell's 70% both teams to score rate in recent matches, combined with Hibernian's ability to score away from home and the historical pattern of goals in this fixture, the value lies in backing both teams to score.