Charlton vs Middlesbrough Prediction - 9th December 2025

This Championship clash presents a fascinating contrast in form and league position. Middlesbrough arrive in south London sitting pretty in 2nd place with 36 points, having established themselves as genuine promotion contenders. Their recent form has been impressive too - 5 wins, 3 draws and just 2 losses from their last 10 outings, including a thumping 4-1 victory at Hull in their last match. Charlton, meanwhile, are languishing in 17th spot with just 23 points from 18 games. Their recent form has been deeply concerning, with 4 defeats in their last 5 matches. The Addicks have been particularly porous defensively, shipping 5 goals at home to Southampton, 3 at Stoke, and 3 at Coventry. They could only manage a goalless draw against bottom-half Portsmouth in their last outing, highlighting their current struggles. The statistical gap between these sides is stark. Middlesbrough dominate possession with 58.4% compared to Charlton's 41.8%, while also averaging more shots (14.8 vs 9.5) and shots on target (4.1 vs 3.7). The visitors are scoring 1.6 goals per game compared to Charlton's 1.0, and crucially, Middlesbrough have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent matches. Head-to-head history heavily favors Middlesbrough too, with 6 wins from 9 meetings against Charlton. The goal expectancy model suggests 1.10 goals for Charlton and 1.40 for Middlesbrough, pointing towards an away win with goals at both ends. Given Charlton's defensive vulnerabilities and Middlesbrough's free-scoring form, combined with the home side potentially finding the net in front of their own fans, the both teams to score market offers excellent value here. **Key Points:** - Middlesbrough 2nd vs Charlton 17nd in Championship table - Boro scoring 1.6 goals per game vs Charlton's 1.0 - Charlton conceded 5, 3, and 3 goals in recent matches - Middlesbrough have 80% BTTS rate in last 10 games - Visitors won 6 of 9 head-to-head meetings - Goal expectancy: 1.10 (Charlton) vs 1.40 (Middlesbrough) **Summary:** The data points strongly towards both teams finding the net. Middlesbrough's attacking form is excellent, while Charlton's defense has been generous. At home, Charlton should create chances, and with odds offering value, BTTS YES looks the smart play.