HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek Prediction - 21st April 2026

The HNL fixture between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Osijek is set for April 21, 2026. The current league table reveals a stark contrast in team performance. HNK Hajduk Split holds the second position with 60 points from 30 matches, boasting 18 wins. In contrast, NK Osijek languishes in 9th place with only 28 points and 6 wins. This 32-point gap suggests a significant disparity in team strength. Analyzing recent form, Hajduk Split has secured a 60% win rate over their last 10 games, averaging 2.10 goals scored per match while conceding 1.10. Their home performance is particularly strong, with a 75% win rate in their last 4 home fixtures. NK Osijek, however, has a 30% win rate over their last 10 games, averaging just 0.70 goals scored per game. Their away form is weak, with an average of 0.83 goals scored per game on the road. The head-to-head record provides the strongest signal for bettors. In the last 4 meetings, Hajduk Split has won 3 times, with all three victories ending in a 2-0 scoreline. This consistent pattern of clean sheets for the home team is a critical factor. Osijek's away scoring struggles further reinforce this trend, as they have failed to score in several recent away matches. Technical metrics further validate the home advantage. Hajduk Split averages 15.00 shots per home game with 55% possession, whereas Osijek manages only 8.33 shots and 42% possession on the road. The goal expectancy model projects 1.62 goals for Hajduk and 0.92 for Osijek, totaling 2.54 expected goals. While this suggests a potential for Over 2.5, the H2H history of 2-0 scorelines strongly favors a clean sheet for the home side. **Key Points:** - **Standings Gap:** Hajduk Split (2nd, 60 pts) vs Osijek (9th, 28 pts). - **H2H Dominance:** Hajduk won 3 of last 4 meetings, all 2-0 scorelines. - **Scoring Struggles:** Osijek averages 0.83 goals per game away. - **Defensive Stability:** Hajduk concedes 1.00 goals per game at home. - **Value:** BTTS No odds (1.73) undervalue the clean sheet probability. Based on the consistent 2-0 H2H results and Osijek's poor away scoring, the recommended bet is **Both Teams To Score - No**.