Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ Prediction - 14th September 2026

Jong AZ is currently showcasing one of the most explosive offensive displays in the Eerste Divisie. Their away form is particularly staggering, where they have secured a 71.43% win rate over their last seven road fixtures. During this period, they have averaged a massive 4.00 goals per game, a statistic that highlights a significant disparity in attacking potency compared to most of their opponents. Their recent run includes a 6-3 demolition of Dordrecht and a 5-2 victory over De Graafschap, demonstrating an ability to maintain high-intensity pressure even when traveling. On the opposite side, Jong PSV U21 presents a much more vulnerable defensive profile. While they are capable of scoring at home (averaging 2.00 goals per game), they struggle significantly to keep the opposition off the scoresheet. With a clean sheet rate of only 10% and a concession average of 2.10 goals per game, they are essentially guaranteed to see Jong AZ find the net. Jong PSV’s recent results have been inconsistent, showing a declining points trend and a defense that frequently buckles under sustained pressure. The head-to-head history shows a relatively balanced rivalry, with Jong PSV holding a slight edge in total wins (5 vs 3). However, the current form and statistical trends tell a different story. Jong AZ’s finishing delta of +1.72 indicates they are significantly overperforming their expected goals, suggesting a clinical edge in front of the net. Conversely, Jong PSV’s goal environment is volatile, and their inability to tighten up defensively at home makes them a prime target for an AZ side that thrives on high-scoring transitions. The betting markets seem to be underestimating the sheer volume of goals Jong AZ produces on the road. While the odds for Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS are tempting, they offer relatively slim margins of value. The most compelling opportunity lies in the Away Win. Given Jong AZ’s dominant away win percentage and their prolific scoring rate against a Jong PSV side that concedes regularly, the current price of 2.30 provides a substantial edge. We expect Jong AZ to overwhelm the home side's backline and secure a comfortable victory. Key Points: - Jong AZ has a 71.43% win rate in their last 7 away matches. - Jong AZ averages a massive 4.00 goals per game on the road. - Jong PSV U21 concedes an average of 2.10 goals per game with only a 10% clean sheet rate. - Jong AZ shows a massive finishing delta of +1.72, indicating high clinical efficiency. - Market odds for an Away Win (2.30) significantly undervalue Jong AZ's current away form. Bet: Away Win