Everton vs Manchester United Prediction - 23rd February 2026

Monday Night Football brings a fascinating contrast to Goodison Park as an in-form Manchester United side travel to face an Everton team struggling to turn draws into wins on home soil. Everton's recent form paints a picture of a side that's difficult to beat but frustratingly stagnant at home. The Toffees have failed to win any of their last five home matches, registering three consecutive 1-1 draws against Wolves, Sunderland, and Leeds before suffering a 2-4 defeat to Brentford and a narrow 1-2 loss to Bournemouth. While their away form has been surprisingly robust – highlighted by a superb 1-0 victory at high-flying Aston Villa and a 2-1 win at Fulham – their home defensive record is concerning, shipping 1.80 goals per game in front of their own fans. Manchester United arrive on Merseyside in scintillating attacking form. The Red Devils have taken 19 points from their last 10 matches and have found the net 17 times during this run. Their recent 3-2 triumph at Arsenal and a dominant 2-0 victory over Manchester City showcase a side capable of breaking down the league's best defences. Even away from Old Trafford, United have been prolific, scoring 1.75 goals per game on their travels, though they've shown a tendency to share the spoils with three draws in their last four road trips. The goal expectancies support an open encounter, with the underlying numbers pointing to approximately 3.12 total goals expected. Everton's home matches have averaged 2.8 goals across their last five, while United's away fixtures have produced 3.25 goals per game over the same sample. Both sides have seen Both Teams To Score land in 70% of their recent fixtures, and with Everton conceding 1.80 per game at home against United's 1.70 per game scoring average, the defensive vulnerabilities are apparent. Head-to-head history heavily favours Manchester United, though the most recent encounter ended 1-0. However, six of the last nine meetings have produced Over 2.5 goals, and given the current attacking momentum of the visitors coupled with Everton's inability to keep clean sheets at home, the conditions are ripe for goals. Key Points: • Everton have won 0% of their last 5 home games, conceding 1.80 goals per game during this run • Manchester United have scored 1.75 goals per game away from home and are unbeaten in their last 4 away (1-3-0) • Goal expectancies suggest 3.12 total goals, with both teams averaging high goal involvement recently • Six of the last nine H2H meetings have seen Over 2.5 goals land • Both teams have a 70% BTTS rate in their last 10 games Summary: With Manchester United's attack firing on all cylinders and Everton's home defence looking porous, the value lies in the goals market. Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.73.