Worksop Town vs Southport Prediction - 12th September 2026

Worksop Town faces a significant opportunity to climb out of the bottom half of the National League North table as they host Southport. Currently sitting in 17th place, Worksop has maintained a balanced 50% win rate over their last 10 matches. While their path to the top has been inconsistent, they have historically fared very well against Southport at home, boasting a 100% win rate in previous head-to-head home fixtures. Southport, meanwhile, enters this match in 19th position and is struggling to find stability on the road. Their away form is particularly concerning; they have failed to secure a single win in their last four away outings. More importantly, their defensive record away from home is alarming, as they have conceded a staggering 3.00 goals per game on the road. This defensive vulnerability provides a clear opening for Worksop Town to capitalize on. Recent results from both sides point toward a high-scoring encounter. Southport has been involved in several high-scoring matches recently, including a 4-1 victory over Bedford Town and a heavy 5-1 loss to Scarborough Athletic. These results, combined with a goal expectancy (λ) of 3.25 for this fixture, suggest that the game will likely see multiple goals. Worksop Town has also shown they can find the back of the net at home, averaging 1.33 goals per game. With Southport's defensive lapses away from home and the historical trend of these two teams producing goals, the Over 2.5 Goals market offers the best value. The odds of 1.84 provide a healthy edge given the statistical likelihood of a high-scoring affair. Key Points: - Southport have conceded an average of 3.00 goals per game in their last 4 away matches. - Worksop Town hold a 100% home win record against Southport. - The goal expectancy (λ) for this fixture is 3.25, indicating a high probability of multiple goals. - Southport's recent form includes high-scoring results (4-1 win and 5-1 loss). Bet: Over 2.5 Goals