Lanus vs Newells Old Boys Prediction - 17th March 2026

The Liga Profesional Argentina presents a compelling clash this Wednesday as Lanus host Newells Old Boys at home. With the season well underway, the form disparity between these two sides is stark and tells a story of contrasting fortunes. Lanus enter the match sitting 10th in the table with 12 points from 8 games, averaging 1.50 points per game. In contrast, Newells Old Boys are languishing at the foot of the table in 30th place, having managed just 3 points from 9 games, averaging a dismal 0.30 points per game. Lanus have shown resilience in recent weeks, securing 4 wins in their last 10 matches while maintaining a 40.00% win rate. Their home form is particularly notable, with a 50.00% win rate in their last 4 home games. They have scored 1.20 goals per game on average over the last 10 outings, though they have conceded 1.40 goals per game. Newells Old Boys, conversely, have not won any of their last 10 games, drawing 3 and losing 7. They have a win rate of 0.00% and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per game. Their away performance has been even weaker, with 0.00% win rate and 75.00% loss rate in their last 4 away games. Head-to-head history offers a complex narrative. Historically, Newells Old Boys hold a significant advantage with 8 wins in 9 meetings against Lanus. However, current form suggests a shift in momentum. Lanus are coming off a 1-0 away victory against Estudiantes L.P., while Newells Old Boys are on a winless run. The goal expectancy for this fixture stands at 1.50 for the home side and 0.88 for the away side, suggesting a competitive but potentially low-scoring affair. The market odds reflect Lanus as favorites at 1.75. The Over 2.5 Goals line sits at 2.35, while Under 2.5 is priced at 1.57, aligning with the lower goal expectation derived from Newells' away scoring average of 0.50. Key Points: * Lanus average 1.50 Points Per Game compared to Newells 0.30. * Newells have 0 clean sheets in their last 10 games. * Lanus home win rate is 50.00% in recent home fixtures. * Newells Old Boys away goal score average is 0.50 per game. * Historical H2H favors Newells, but current form favors Lanus. * Lanus conceded 1.25 goals per game in home fixtures. Considering the statistical disparity and Newells Old Boys' inability to win away from home, Lanus represent the clear value pick. While the historical record is daunting, the current season form indicates a strong home performance opportunity. We recommend backing the home side to secure the victory. The combination of Lanus's home stability and Newells' defensive frailty makes the Home Win the most logical outcome for this fixture.