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Belgium U172-1France U17
2. Liga

SKU Amstetten vs Austria Lustenau Prediction - 28th November 2025

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 17:00
Prediction
HOME WIN
Odds
2.15
Implied Probability
46.5%
Expected Value
+18%

Amstetten's Unbeaten Run Faces Top-Four Test

Analysis

This top-four clash in Austria's 2. Liga presents a fascinating battle between two teams separated by just a single point in the standings. However, their recent form tells a very different story. SKU Amstetten arrives at this fixture in absolutely scintillating form, boasting an unbeaten run of 10 matches (6 wins, 4 draws). Their attacking prowess has been particularly impressive at home, averaging 2.33 goals per game on their own patch. Recent performances like the 3-0 demolition of Stripfing and another 3-0 victory over SV Kapfenberg demonstrate their ability to dominate opponents. What's particularly noteworthy is their defensive solidity - conceding only 0.8 goals per game while keeping clean sheets in half of their recent outings. Austria Lustenau, despite sitting third in the table, have shown signs of vulnerability lately. Their last 10 games show a more modest return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with their attacking output significantly lower at 1.2 goals per game. Recent results include a goalless draw against Austria Salzburg and a concerning 0-3 defeat in a friendly match. Their away form, while respectable with a 50% win rate, shows they score only 1.25 goals per game on the road. The head-to-head record slightly favors Austria Lustenau (5 wins to 4), and they've won 3 of their 5 visits to Amstetten. However, those historical stats may not reflect the current momentum, with Amstetten's recent form vastly superior to their visitors'. Looking at the betting landscape, the home win at 2.15 appears to offer genuine value. Amstetten's incredible consistency - they've suffered only one league defeat all season - combined with their home attacking firepower makes them compelling favorites despite the close league positions. Both teams to score at 1.73 also has merit given both sides have found the net in 50% of their recent matches, but the home win represents the strongest value proposition based on current form.