Thisted FC vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction - 13th May 2026

Vendsyssel FF arrives at this fixture in blistering form, having gone unbeaten in their last 10 matches with 7 wins and 3 draws. They are averaging 2.40 points per game and scoring 2.00 goals per game, while their defensive record is equally impressive at just 0.50 goals conceded per match. This consistency translates to the road as well, where they have recorded a 50% win rate, 50% draw rate, and 0% loss rate in their last six away fixtures, conceding only 0.50 goals per game on the road. Thisted FC, by contrast, is showing clear signs of regression. Their last 10 results yield just 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, averaging 1.30 points per game. Recent form includes a 1-2 defeat to AB Copenhagen and a 0-1 loss to Vendsyssel FF just days ago. Mathematical trend analysis confirms the decline, with negative slopes for goals scored and points, alongside a volatility index of 1.1672. At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, but their underlying metrics are under pressure against a side that has netted 20 goals in their last 10 outings. The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. Vendsyssel FF has won all 7 previous meetings, outscoring Thisted 16-5. Thisted’s home record against this opponent sits at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. In these encounters, 5 of the 7 matches have seen Over 2.5 Goals, and BTTS has landed in 5 of them. The goal expectancy model projects a home total of 0.92 and an away total of 1.17, but Vendsyssel’s attacking slope of 0.1212 and positive points trend slope of 0.1333 suggest they will continue to dominate possession and chance creation. The betting market offers Vendsyssel FF at 2.05 for the away win. Given their 70% win rate in the last 10, their 100% unbeaten away record, and the historical dominance in this fixture, the implied probability of roughly 48.8% presents clear value. The mathematical analysis shows Vendsyssel’s points trend slope is positive (0.1333) with improving consistency, while Thisted’s trends are declining across the board. Key Points: - Vendsyssel FF unbeaten in 10 matches (7W, 3D), averaging 2.40 PPG - Thisted FC showing declining form with 4W 1D 5L in last 10 - Vendsyssel FF has won all 7 previous H2H meetings - Vendsyssel’s away record: 50% W, 50% D, 0% L, 0.50 GA/G - Odds of 2.05 for Away Win offer strong value against implied ~48.8% probability Based on Vendsyssel FF’s exceptional current form, defensive solidity, and complete historical dominance over Thisted FC, the away side is the clear value play. Recommended Bet: Away Win.