Derby vs West Brom Prediction - 9th September 2026

Derby is currently enduring a difficult campaign, languishing in 20th place with a mere 4 points from 5 matches. Their home form has been particularly anaemic, failing to secure a single victory in their last 10 home fixtures. With a points per game average of just 0.80 and a goal difference of -6, the Rams are struggling to find consistency or defensive stability, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game at home. In stark contrast, West Brom arrives in Derbyshire as one of the league's most in-form sides. Sitting comfortably in 5th place, they have amassed 10 points from 5 games, maintaining a formidable points per game average of 2.20. Their offensive output is prolific, averaging 2.40 goals per game over their last 10 outings. West Brom's away record further bolsters their chances, where they have maintained a 66.67% win rate over their last 6 road trips. While historical head-to-head data shows Derby often finding success at home against the Baggies, the current momentum tells a different story. West Brom’s superior goal expectancy (2.38) compared to Derby’s (1.25) suggests a dominant performance from the visitors. The disparity in recent form is the deciding factor here; West Brom's 70% win rate in their last 10 games versus Derby's winless home streak creates a significant opportunity for the visitors to take all three points. Key Points: - West Brom are in excellent form with a 70% win rate in their last 10 games. - Derby have failed to win any of their last 10 home matches. - West Brom average 2.40 goals per game, while Derby concede 2.25 at home. - West Brom's away win rate is a significant 66.67% over their last 6 games. The best value lies in backing the superior side to secure the victory. Recommended Bet: Away Win