Reims vs Guingamp Prediction - 5th September 2026

Reims enters this Ligue 2 fixture in excellent form, currently sitting in 2nd place with 8 points from 4 matches. Their home record has been particularly impressive, boasting a 75% win rate over their last four home games. When playing at their home venue, Reims has been a prolific scoring side, averaging 3.25 goals per match. This offensive output is bolstered by a consistent ability to create opportunities, as they average 7.0 shots on target per home game. Guingamp, on the other hand, has struggled significantly on the road. They have failed to secure a single victory in their last four away matches, recording a 0% win rate in that period. Their defensive record away from home is equally concerning, as they have conceded an average of 2.25 goals per game. While Guingamp often maintains high possession figures away from home (averaging 62.5%), they have struggled to convert that control into tangible results, evidenced by their 0.90 goals scored per game average over their last 10 outings. The head-to-head history also leans heavily in favor of the hosts. Reims has won the last two encounters, with scores of 2-0 and 1-0. This suggests a tactical superiority when facing Guingamp. Furthermore, the goal expectancy for this match is skewed towards the home side, with a projected λ of 2.75 for Reims compared to 1.25 for Guingamp. Recent results further highlight the disparity. Reims secured a dominant 4-1 win against RED Star FC 93 and a 3-1 victory over Annecy. In contrast, Guingamp has shown a lack of defensive stability, including a 3-3 draw with Nantes and a 1-2 loss to Metz. Given Reims' improving goal-scoring trend and Guingamp's inability to secure points on the road, the data strongly supports a home victory. Reims' ability to capitalize on Guingamp's leaky defense should be the deciding factor. Key Points: - Reims has a 75% win rate at home in their last 4 fixtures. - Guingamp has a 0% win rate in their last 4 away fixtures. - Reims scores 3.25 goals per game at home, while Guingamp concedes 2.25 away. - Reims won the last two head-to-head meetings (2-0, 1-0). - Goal expectancy favors Reims significantly at 2.75. The best value lies in a Home Win.