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First Division

Cork City vs Wexford Prediction - 28th August 2026

Friday, August 28, 2026 at 18:45
Prediction
HOME WIN
Odds
1.41
Implied Probability
70.9%
Expected Value
+6%

Cork City vs Wexford Preview: First Division Tip & Prediction

Analysis

Cork City travel to face Wexford in a First Division clash on August 28th, carrying the weight of a dominant season so far. Sitting top of the table with 64 points from 28 matches, Cork City have established a commanding 20-point lead over second-placed UCD. Their attacking metrics are particularly impressive, averaging 2.10 goals per game across all competitions and generating a home expected goal output of 2.12. At home, they have won 60% of their last five fixtures, scoring an average of 2.40 goals per match while maintaining a 30% clean sheet rate. Their recent form shows an improving attack, highlighted by a 3-1 victory over Kerry and a 3-2 win against Athlone Town. Wexford, conversely, find themselves in a difficult position in eighth place with 34 points. Their away form has been a major concern this campaign, recording just a 16.67% win rate from their last six road trips. On the road, they average just 1.00 goals scored while conceding 1.83 per game. Their recent run shows only two wins in their last ten matches, with five defeats highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. They come into this fixture having lost their last two league games, including a 2-0 defeat to Athlone Town and a 4-1 loss to UCD. Head-to-head history heavily favors the hosts. Cork City have won seven of the ten previous meetings, with Wexford failing to secure a single victory in that span. The most recent encounter earlier this season ended 2-0 to Cork City. The mathematical trend for Cork City indicates an improving goals scored slope, while Wexford's away defensive metrics remain stagnant. Wexford's points per game on the road sits at a low 0.90, underscoring their struggle to pick up results away from home. Key Points: - Cork City sit top of the First Division with 64 points, averaging 2.10 goals per game. - Wexford are in eighth place and have won only 16.67% of their last six away matches. - Cork City have won seven of the last ten head-to-head encounters, with Wexford winless in the fixture. - Wexford average 1.83 goals conceded per away game, compared to Cork City's 2.40 goals scored at home. - Home Win at 1.41 provides the strongest value based on form, standings, and historical dominance. Our final recommendation is to back the Home Win at 1.41, capitalizing on Cork City's dominant home form and Wexford's persistent away struggles.