Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction - 16th May 2026

Celtic host Heart Of Midlothian in a crucial Premiership fixture, with the home side looking to leverage their formidable record at Parkhead. Both sides arrive in excellent form, having each secured six wins, three draws, and one loss across their last ten matches. Celtic's recent results include a dominant 3-1 victory over Rangers and a 2-1 away win at Hibernian, showcasing their ability to grind out results against top-tier opposition. Hearts, meanwhile, have been equally impressive, picking up a 2-1 victory over Rangers and a 2-1 away win at Hibernian in their recent run. The statistical edge clearly points toward the home side. Celtic have won 80% of their last five home matches, averaging 2.40 goals scored per game while conceding just 1.00. Their attacking output is backed by 14.29 shots per game on average, with a 41.4% shot accuracy rate. In contrast, Hearts have managed only a 25% win rate on the road in their last four away fixtures, scoring 1.25 goals per game away from Tynecastle. Head-to-head history further supports a home victory. Celtic have won six of the last ten meetings, including a 3-0-2 record at home against the Tynecastle side. The average goals in these encounters sit at 3.30 per game, with Over 2.5 Goals landing in seven of the last ten matches. However, Celtic's defensive improvement is notable, having conceded just 0.90 goals per game over the last ten matches, down from previous seasons. The betting market reflects Celtic's status as clear favourites, with the home win priced at 1.67. Given Celtic's 80% home win rate, their superior shot volume and accuracy, and Hearts' struggles away from home, the implied probability of 59.9% represents genuine value. While Hearts boast a solid 0.70 goals conceded per game average, Celtic's home scoring rate of 2.40 per game should prove too strong. Key Points: - Celtic have won 80% of their last five home games, averaging 2.40 goals per match. - Hearts have won just 25% of their last four away fixtures, scoring 1.25 goals per game on the road. - Head-to-head record shows Celtic winning 6 of the last 10 meetings, with a 3-0-2 record at home. - Celtic's last 10 games yield 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a strong 3-1 win over Rangers recently. - Odds of 1.67 for the home win offer a clear edge based on current form and venue performance. Final Recommendation: Home Win