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Norrby IF0-1Oddevold
Serie A

Sassuolo vs Pisa Prediction - 24th November 2025

Monday, November 24, 2025 at 19:45
Prediction
DRAW
Odds
3.20
Implied Probability
31.3%
Expected Value
+18%

Draw Special: Pisa's Point-Collecting Machine Visits Sassuolo

Analysis

This Serie A clash presents a fascinating tactical puzzle between two teams heading in opposite directions in the table. Sassuolo sits comfortably in 8th place with 16 points, while Pisa languishes in 16th with just 9 points, but the recent form tells a very different story. Sassuolo's recent form has been inconsistent at best. While they secured an impressive 3-0 victory away at Atalanta, their home form has been concerning. In their last three home matches, they've managed just one win while losing two, including a 1-2 defeat to Genoa and a 0-1 loss to AS Roma. Their attacking output at home has been particularly worrying, averaging only 0.67 goals per game in their recent home fixtures. Pisa, despite their low league position, have become masters of the draw. Five of their last ten matches have ended level, including impressive results against top-tier opposition. They've held Torino to a 2-2 draw, battled AC Milan to a 2-2 stalemate, and kept clean sheets in goalless draws against Lazio and Verona. Their only win in the last ten came courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Cremonese. The statistical trends reveal two teams with improving defensive records but struggling attacks. Sassuolo averages 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game, while Pisa manages just 0.70 goals scored but matches Sassuolo with 1.30 conceded. Pisa's away form shows they can score (1.20 goals per game away) but also concede heavily (2.40 per game away), suggesting potential for an open game despite their draw-heavy recent results. The head-to-head record is minimal with just two previous meetings, each team winning once. Sassuolo won 1-0 at home in March 2025, while Pisa secured a 3-1 away victory in December 2024. Given Pisa's recent draw-heavy form and Sassuolo's inconsistent home performances, coupled with odds that offer significant value, the draw stands out as the most appealing betting opportunity in this encounter. **Key Points:** - Pisa has drawn 5 of their last 10 matches, including against top teams like AC Milan and Lazio - Sassuolo's home attacking form is poor, averaging just 0.67 goals per game at home - Both teams have identical defensive records (1.30 goals conceded per game) - Pisa's away form shows 0% win rate but they've been difficult to beat recently - The draw odds of 3.20 offer excellent value given Pisa's recent point-collecting tendency **Recommended Bet:** DRAW - The statistics strongly point towards another Pisa draw, with the odds providing exceptional value for this outcome.