Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor Prediction - 18th September 2026

Kasımpaşa enters this Süper Lig fixture in formidable form, maintaining an impressive undefeated streak across their last 10 matches. Currently sitting in 4th place with 9 points, they have demonstrated a high level of consistency, averaging 2.00 points per game. Their defensive solidity has been a hallmark of this run, conceding only 0.80 goals per game over their last 10 outings. At home, Kasımpaşa has been particularly difficult to break down, yielding just 0.83 goals per game while maintaining a scoring average of 1.83. In contrast, Konyaspor is struggling significantly in the bottom half of the table. Occupying 16th place with only 3 points, they have suffered 6 losses in their last 10 games. Their away form is particularly concerning, where they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per match. While they managed a 1-0 victory over Trabzonspor recently, their overall goal difference of -6 highlights a leaky defense that Kasımpaşa is well-equipped to exploit. Historically, this matchup has been a difficult one for Kasımpaşa, who have failed to secure a single win against Konyaspor in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. However, the current disparity in form and league position suggests a shift in dynamics. Kasımpaşa's home goal environment is rated as high-scoring, and with Konyaspor's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, the probability of a high-scoring affair is significant. Mathematical models provide a goal expectancy of 1.92 for Kasımpaşa and 1.08 for Konyaspor, totaling 3.00 goals. When combined with Kasımpaşa's home scoring trends and Konyaspor's poor away defensive record, the market's current pricing for the Over 2.5 Goals offers a clear value edge. While Kasımpaşa's home win record is mixed due to a high draw rate, the most reliable statistical path points toward a game with at least three goals. Key Points: - Kasımpaşa is currently undefeated in their last 10 matches. - Konyaspor is in 16th place, having lost 6 of their last 10 games. - Kasımpaşa averages 1.83 goals scored per game at home. - Konyaspor concedes 2.00 goals per game when playing away. - Poisson goal expectancy for this fixture is 3.00. - Historical head-to-head data shows an 80% Both Teams to Score rate. Given the offensive output of Kasımpaşa at home and the defensive struggles of Konyaspor on the road, the most viable bet is Over 2.5 Goals.