Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenyang Urban Prediction - 14th March 2026

Chongqing Tongliang Long host Shenyang Urban in a Super League clash on 2026-03-14. The fixture takes place at the Chongqing venue with kickoff at 11:35. Currently, Chongqing Tongliang Long sit third in the standings with one point from one match, while Shenyang Urban are sixth with zero points. Both teams have played only one league game so far this season, but their underlying metrics from the last ten games offer a clearer picture of their capabilities. Chongqing Tongliang Long have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last ten games, averaging 1.50 points per game. However, their home form is notably tight defensively, conceding just 0.25 goals per game at their home venue. They have scored 0.50 goals per game at home, indicating a low-scoring threat. In their most recent match, they drew 0-0 with Tianjin Teda, reinforcing this defensive trend. In contrast, Shenyang Urban have a stronger offensive output in their last ten games with 1.60 goals scored per game, though their away defense is porous, conceding 1.50 goals per game on the road. They suffered a 3-0 loss to Shandong Luneng in their latest outing. The head-to-head record shows a balanced contest with four total matches, two wins each. The last meeting ended 2-4, but the overall trend for this matchup has seen both teams score in two of the four encounters. The mathematical goal expectancy points to a low-scoring environment, with Home Expectancy at 1.00 and Away Expectancy at 0.79, totaling 1.79 expected goals. This is significantly below the threshold for the Over 2.5 Goals market which is priced at 1.85. The betting market offers Under 2.5 Goals at 1.95. Given the home team's defensive record and the combined goal expectancy, this represents a value opportunity. While the head-to-head history includes high-scoring games, the recent statistical trends for Chongqing at home heavily favor a lower goal count. Shenyang's away games see them concede at a high rate, but Chongqing's inability to score at home (0.50 avg) caps the total potential. Key Points: - Chongqing Tongliang Long Home Goals Scored: 0.50 per game. - Shenyang Urban Away Goals Conceded: 1.50 per game. - Combined Goal Expectancy: 1.79. - Under 2.5 Odds: 1.95. In conclusion, the data suggests a tight, low-scoring affair where Chongqing's defensive home record limits Shenyang's attacking potential. We recommend backing the Under 2.5 Goals market for this fixture.