Premier League
Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction - 6th December 2025
Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 17:30Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.75
Implied Probability
57.1%
Expected Value
+5%
Liverpool to Expite Leeds' Defensive Woes
Analysis
This Premier League clash pits two sides in contrasting form, with Leeds desperately fighting relegation while Liverpool look to rediscover consistency. The data paints a clear picture of why Liverpool should have the edge here.
Leeds are in dire straits, sitting 18th with just 11 points from 13 games. Their recent form is alarming - only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, with a paltry 0.8 points per game average. defensively, they've been shipping goals at an alarming rate, conceding 1.9 per game with just one clean sheet in their last 10 outings. Their recent results show struggles against all levels of opposition, including a 1-3 loss to Nottingham Forest and a 0-3 thrashing by Brighton.
Liverpool, while inconsistent, show better metrics with 1.3 points per game and a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches. Crucially, their away form stands out - they've won 50% of their away games while scoring an impressive 2.25 goals per game on the road. Their recent 2-0 victory at West Ham demonstrates they can get the job done away from home.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Liverpool, who've won 5 of 7 meetings, including a 6-1 thrashing in their last encounter. Leeds have never beaten Liverpool at home in the Premier League era.
Statistically, Liverpool dominate key metrics - averaging 15.67 shots to Leeds' 12.44, maintaining 58.6% possession compared to Leeds' 49%, and creating more chances with 5.89 shots on target versus 4.33.
Given Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities and Liverpool's superior away attacking output, coupled with the historical dominance in this fixture, Liverpool appear well-placed to secure all three points.