Feirense vs Chaves Prediction - 15th February 2026

The Segunda Liga serves up an intriguing mid-table battle as Feirense host Chaves on February 15th. Separated by just a single point in the standings, this clash promises to be a tightly contested affair with both sides looking to build momentum for the final stretch of the season. Feirense sit 7th with 28 points, boasting a solid if unspectacular record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses. Their recent form shows resilience, particularly against stronger opposition. In their last ten matches, they've secured impressive results including a 1-1 draw with league leaders Maritimo, a 0-0 stalemate against third-placed Academico Viseu, and a 2-1 victory over FC Porto B. However, their home form tells a different story – just one win in their last five home games (20%), with three draws (60%) and one loss. At home, they average exactly 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game, suggesting tight, low-scoring affairs. Their 2-1 loss to Leixoes last time out ended a four-match unbeaten run. Chaves arrive in 10th place with 27 points, fresh off three consecutive defeats. They fell 1-0 to Penafiel, 1-0 to Felgueiras 1932, and drew 2-2 with Lusitânia Lourosa in their most recent outings. This poor run contrasts with their earlier away form, which saw them win two of their last four on the road, including a 3-2 victory at Oliveirense and a 2-0 win at Torreense. Their away record shows a 'boom or bust' pattern: 50% wins and 50% losses in their last four away fixtures, with no draws. On the road, they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded. The head-to-head history slightly favors Chaves, who have won four of the nine meetings compared to Feirense's three, with two draws. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in September 2025. Notably, both teams have scored in five of those nine clashes (55.6%), and over 2.5 goals has occurred in five matches as well. Key Points: - Feirense have drawn 60% of their last five home games, showing resilience but lack of cutting edge - Chaves are on a three-game losing streak but have won 50% of their last four away matches - Both teams have scored in 70% of Feirense's last ten matches - Feirense average 1.0 goal scored and conceded at home - Chaves average 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded away - The sides played out a 1-1 draw in their last meeting From a betting perspective, the match outcome markets offer little value with all three results priced closely around 2.75-3.05. Feirense's strong tendency to draw at home (60%) makes the draw at 3.05 somewhat appealing, but Chaves' recent away record shows no draws in four matches. The under 2.5 goals at 1.55 reflects the low scoring averages but offers minimal expected value. The standout betting opportunity lies in Both Teams to Score - Yes at 2.10. Feirense have seen both teams score in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%), including against quality opposition like Maritimo and Academico Viseu. While Chaves have a lower BTTS rate (30% in last 10), they've scored in their last two away games and face a Feirense defense that concedes regularly at home. The head-to-head BTTS rate of 55.6% combined with Feirense's current trend suggests better than even chances of both teams finding the net. Summary: This mid-table clash features two evenly matched sides with contrasting recent form. Feirense are tough to beat at home but struggle for wins, while Chaves are in poor form but capable on their travels. The value bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 2.10, leveraging Feirense's high BTTS rate and both teams' ability to score in this fixture historically.