Everton vs Bournemouth Prediction - 10th February 2026

Everton welcome Bournemouth to Goodison Park in a mid-table Premier League clash that promises goals. The Toffees sit 7th with 37 points, just three ahead of their 11th-placed visitors, but the underlying form tells a more intriguing story for bettors. Everton's recent results paint a picture of a team struggling at home but resilient on the road. In their last ten matches, they've managed three wins, five draws, and two losses, averaging 1.4 points per game. However, digging deeper reveals a concerning home trend: they are winless in their last five at Goodison, with three draws and two defeats. Those home games include a 1-1 draw with Leeds, a 1-1 draw with Wolves, and a damaging 2-4 loss to Brentford. Despite this, they continue to find the net, scoring in eight of their last ten outings. Their 1-0 away win at high-flying Aston Villa and a 2-1 victory at Fulham show they possess quality, but replicating that at home has been problematic. Bournemouth, meanwhile, are the Premier League's entertainers. Their last ten games have yielded three wins, five draws, and two losses, mirroring Everton's points haul of 1.4 per game. The key difference is in the goal columns. The Cherries have been involved in thrillers, scoring 18 and conceding 18 in that period. Their matches are rarely dull, evidenced by stunning results like a 3-2 home win over Liverpool and a 3-2 victory against Tottenham. Crucially, both teams have scored in a remarkable nine of their last ten fixtures. Their away form shows they travel with intent, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game on the road, though they also concede 1.8. The head-to-head history heavily favours Bournemouth, who have won six of the last nine meetings, with Everton managing just three victories. However, the most recent encounter in December 2025 ended in a 1-0 win for Everton, potentially signalling a shift in momentum. Statistically, this matchup highlights a clash of styles. Bournemouth are the more proactive side away from home, averaging 15.8 shots and a impressive 7.0 on target per game. Everton, at home, average just 11.2 shots and 3.0 on target. The Cherries' shot accuracy of 41.4% on their travels far exceeds Everton's 25.9% at home. This suggests Bournemouth will create the clearer chances. For bettors, the most compelling narrative is the likelihood of goals at both ends. Everton's home games see them score 1.0 and concede 1.6 on average. Bournemouth's away games average 3.4 total goals. With Everton scoring in most games and Bournemouth's defense consistently breached (one clean sheet in ten), the conditions are perfect for Both Teams to Score. **Key Points:** * Everton are winless in their last five home games (D3, L2) but have scored in eight of their last ten overall. * Bournemouth have seen Both Teams to Score in 90% of their last ten matches. * The Cherries average 3.6 total goals per game across their last ten fixtures. * Head-to-head history favours Bournemouth (6 wins in 9), but Everton won the last meeting 1-0. * Statistical analysis shows Bournemouth create more high-quality chances on the road (7.0 shots on target per away game). **Summary:** While a case can be made for a Bournemouth win or a draw given Everton's home woes, the standout betting value lies in the goal markets. The data overwhelmingly points towards both teams finding the net. Bournemouth's games are consistently open, and Everton have the attacking threat to contribute. At odds of 1.70, Both Teams to Score - Yes offers significant value against a probability we assess as closer to 65%.