West Brom vs Millwall Prediction - 10th April 2026

The Championship clash between West Brom and Millwall presents a stark contrast in current form and league standing. As of the current date, Millwall sits comfortably in 4th place with 72 points, while West Brom struggles in 20th with just 45 points. This 27-point gap is a significant indicator of relative strength heading into this fixture. Recent form heavily favors the visitors. Over their last 10 games, Millwall has secured 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, averaging 1.90 points per game. In contrast, West Brom has managed only 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10, averaging 1.10 points per game. The disparity is even more pronounced when looking at venue-specific performance. Millwall's last 5 away games show an 80% win rate, scoring 2.00 goals per game and conceding only 0.80. Conversely, West Brom's last 5 home games show a 20% win rate, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded. Head-to-head history further supports the visitors. In their last 10 meetings, Millwall has won 3 times compared to West Brom's single victory, with 6 draws. The most recent encounter ended 3-0 to Millwall. West Brom's home record against Millwall specifically shows 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses in the last 5 home meetings, but the most recent result was a decisive 3-0 defeat. Statistical analysis highlights Millwall's attacking efficiency. Their away shot accuracy sits at 34.3% compared to West Brom's home accuracy of 28.5%. Millwall's finishing delta is positive (+0.39), indicating they are overperforming their expected goals, while West Brom is underperforming (-0.35). Goal expectancies suggest a total of 2.70 goals (Home 1.10, Away 1.60), which leans towards a higher-scoring game, but Millwall's away goal environment metrics suggest tighter contests when they travel. Key Points: - Millwall is 4th (72 pts) vs West Brom 20th (45 pts). - Millwall Away Win Rate (last 5): 80%. - West Brom Home Win Rate (last 5): 20%. - H2H: Millwall won last meeting 3-0. - Goal Expectancy: 2.70 total. Given the significant form gap and Millwall's dominance in recent head-to-head encounters, the value lies with the visitors. The odds of 3.20 for an Away Win offer a strong edge given Millwall's 80% away win rate in their last 5 games and superior league position. Our recommended pick is Millwall to Win.