Fulham vs Tottenham Prediction - 1st March 2026

Fulham welcome Tottenham to Craven Cottage on Sunday sitting eight points and six places above their north London opponents in the Premier League table. With the hosts enjoying a productive spell on home soil while the visitors continue to stumble through their domestic campaign, Fulham look generously priced at 2.10 to claim three vital points. The Cottagers have transformed their Craven Cottage fortress into a genuine asset in recent weeks, winning 60% of their last five home fixtures while averaging exactly two goals per game. Their recent resume boasts impressive home victories against Chelsea (2-1) and Brighton (2-1), alongside a hard-fought 2-2 draw with Liverpool. Even their defeats have shown fighting spirit – narrow losses to Everton (1-2) and Manchester United (2-3) where they found the net against top-half opposition. With 17 goals in their last ten outings and an 80% both-teams-to-score rate, Fulham's attack is firing consistently even if their defensive record (1.60 conceded per game) leaves room for improvement. Tottenham arrive in west London carrying the baggage of a dreadful league run that has seen them collect just two points from their last five Premier League assignments. Their 1-4 capitulation against Arsenal last time out marked a sixth defeat in ten league games, with their only wins during this period coming in European competition against Frankfurt and Dortmund rather than domestic opposition. The north London side have conceded 19 goals in their last ten matches (1.90 per game) and kept just two clean sheets, while their away record shows a concerning 1.75 goals conceded per game on their travels. The 2-2 draw at Burnley and 2-3 defeat at Bournemouth particularly stand out as results against struggling sides that highlight their current malaise. The head-to-head record offers Spurs some historical comfort with four wins from the last nine meetings, but Fulham's 40% home win rate in this fixture (2-1-2) suggests a tight contest where current form should outweigh historical precedent. The mathematical goal expectancies (1.88 for Fulham, 1.45 for Tottenham) align perfectly with the hosts' superior home attacking output and the visitors' defensive frailties. Key Points: • Fulham have won 60% of their last five home games, scoring exactly two goals per game on average at Craven Cottage • Tottenham have taken just two points from their last five Premier League matches, conceding 11 goals in that span • The hosts have beaten Chelsea and drawn with Liverpool in recent home fixtures, proving they can mix it with top-half sides • Spurs' only wins in the last ten games have come in European competition, with six defeats in their last ten overall • Both teams have seen BTTS land in 70-80% of their recent matches, but Fulham's win price offers better value than the 1.62 available on goals With Fulham showing upward momentum in their performance trends while the visitors display clear declining patterns across goals scored, conceded, and points accumulated, the 2.10 on a home win represents excellent value. The implied probability of 47.6% underestimates Fulham's true chances given their home dominance and Tottenham's league struggles. Back the Cottagers to continue their climb up the table.