Preußen Münster vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction - 11th April 2026

The 2. Bundesliga clash between Preußen Münster and SpVgg Greuther Fürth promises a tense relegation battle. Both teams sit at the bottom of the table, with Münster in 18th place (27 points) and Fürth in 17th (29 points) after 28 games. The stakes are high, and the data points towards a high-scoring affair. Preußen Münster's home form is concerning. In their last four home games, they have failed to win, managing only one draw and three losses. Their defensive frailty is evident; they have conceded an average of 2.25 goals per game at home. Across their last ten games, Münster has conceded 1.90 goals per game, with a clean sheet rate of just 20%. SpVgg Greuther Fürth presents a more resilient away profile. In their last four away games, they secured two wins and two losses, averaging 1.25 goals scored per game. Their overall form over the last ten matches shows 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, yielding 1.40 points per game compared to Münster's 0.70. Head-to-head history favors Fürth, who won the last meeting 1-0 in November 2025. In the three historical encounters, Fürth leads 2-1. Goal expectancy data suggests a high-scoring match. The combined goal expectancy is 3.13 goals (Münster 1.38, Fürth 1.75). Given Münster's leaky defense (2.25 conceded at home) and Fürth's scoring capability (1.25 scored away), both teams finding the net is a strong possibility. Münster has seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Fürth's rate is 60%. The betting market offers value on Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.73 odds. The implied probability is roughly 57.8%, but based on the defensive and offensive metrics, the actual probability appears closer to 65%. This provides a sufficient edge for a value bet. **Key Points:** - Münster: 18th place, poor home form (0 wins in last 4). - Fürth: 17th place, better away form (50% win rate). - Münster concedes 2.25 goals/game at home. - Fürth scores 1.25 goals/game away. - H2H favors Fürth. - Goal Expectancy: 3.13 total goals. **Summary:** The data supports a Both Teams to Score - Yes selection, given the defensive vulnerabilities of Münster and the scoring consistency of Fürth.