Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction - 6th December 2025

This Saturday's Premier League clash pits a struggling Bournemouth side against a high-flying Chelsea team that's firmly entrenched in the top four. The contrast in form and league position couldn't be more stark, with the visitors sitting pretty in 3rd place while the hosts languish in 14th. Bournemouth's recent form has been concerning, with just 2 wins from their last 10 matches and a mere 1 point per game average. Their recent results tell the story of a team finding it tough to get results - a 0-1 home loss to Everton was followed by a 2-3 defeat at Sunderland, and they were hammered 4-0 by Aston Villa. While they've shown some attacking intent with 15 goals in those 10 games, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding 19 times. Interestingly, their home form shows some resilience with a 40% win rate and only 0.8 goals conceded per game at their own ground. Chelsea, by contrast, have been excellent. Six wins from their last 10 matches and 2.1 points per game demonstrates their consistency. They've been particularly impressive defensively, keeping 5 clean sheets and conceding just 9 goals. Their away form is especially noteworthy - a 60% win rate on the road with 1.8 goals scored per game. Recent results include a credible 1-1 draw against league leaders Arsenal and a dominant 3-0 victory over Barcelona in the Champions League. The head-to-head record heavily favors Chelsea, who have won 5 of the 7 meetings between these sides. Bournemouth have never beaten Chelsea in the Premier League era, though the last encounter did end in a 2-2 draw. Statistically, Chelsea edge it across the board - more shots (15.67 vs 12.70), better possession (58% vs 55.5%), and significantly superior defensive numbers. The goal expectancy model suggests a tight game (1.20 vs 1.30), but Chelsea's superior quality and form should see them through. With Chelsea's excellent away record and Bournemouth's recent struggles, the visitors look well-placed to secure all three points at 2.10, which offers good value given the gulf in class and current form.