Leganes vs Almeria Prediction - 22nd November 2025

This Segunda División clash presents a fascinating contrast between form and venue. Almeria arrives in exceptional touch, sitting 5th in the table with 25 points from 13 games, while Leganes languishes in 12th with 18 points from 14 matches. Almeria's recent statistics are simply outstanding - 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 10 games, yielding an impressive 2.30 points per game. Their recent results include commanding victories like the 3-0 demolition of Cadiz and a 3-1 win over Eibar. defensively, they've been solid with 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches and conceding only 0.70 goals per game. Leganes, meanwhile, has been inconsistent at best. Their home form is particularly concerning - just 1 win from their last 4 home games, with a paltry 0.75 goals scored per game at home. Recent results show their vulnerability, including a 1-2 home loss to Burgos and a 0-1 defeat against Castellón. While they did secure a 2-0 win over Malaga, their overall home record (25% win rate) doesn't inspire confidence. The head-to-head history shows competitive encounters (Leganes 2W-2D-1L overall), with both teams scoring in 4 of the 5 meetings. However, current form suggests this pattern might not continue. Almeria's away performances have been respectable (2W-2D-1L in last 5 away), and they average 1.20 goals on the road. Statistical analysis reveals Almeria's superiority across key metrics - they score more (1.70 vs 1.20 goals per game), concede less (0.70 vs 0.90), and maintain better possession (53.6% vs 51.2%). Given Leganes' struggles to find the net at home and Almeria's defensive solidity, the away side appears well-positioned. The goal expectancy figures (Home 0.88, Away 1.10) further support Almeria's advantage, suggesting they're more likely to breach Leganes' defense than vice versa. Key Points: - Almeria in exceptional form: 7W-2D-1L in last 10 games - Leganes struggling at home: only 25% win rate, 0.75 goals per game - Almeria superior defensively: 50% clean sheets, 0.70 goals conceded per game - Head-to-head competitive but current form heavily favors visitors - Almeria averages 1.70 goals per game vs Leganes' 1.20 Given the stark contrast in recent form and Leganes' home scoring difficulties, Almeria represents excellent value at 2.70. Their consistent performances and defensive stability should be enough to overcome Leganes' home advantage, especially considering the hosts' offensive struggles on their own patch.