Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction - 23rd November 2025

The North London Derby arrives with Arsenal sitting pretty at the top of the Premier League table, showcasing a level of dominance that's been simply breathtaking. Their recent form reads like a fantasy football team's dream - 9 wins and 1 draw from their last 10 matches, with an astonishing 8 clean sheets during that period. The defensive numbers are staggering: just 3 goals conceded in 10 games, and at home, they've been absolutely impenetrable with 0 goals allowed in their last 5 matches at their own ground. Tottenham, meanwhile, find themselves in 5th place having shown flashes of brilliance but lacking consistency. Their recent form tells the story - 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses from their last 10 outings. While they can be dangerous going forward with 1.5 goals per game, they've also shown vulnerability at the back, conceding 1.1 goals per game on average. Their away form has been particularly patchy, with just a 40% win rate on their travels. Looking at the recent results, Arsenal's dominance is clear to see. They've dispatched teams with authority - 4-0 against Atletico Madrid, 3-0 versus Slavia Praha, and multiple 2-0 victories. Their only slip-up was a 2-2 draw against Sunderland, but even that came against a team sitting 4th in the league. Tottenham, on the other hand, have struggled against top opposition, losing 0-1 to Chelsea and 1-2 to Aston Villa in recent weeks. The statistical gap between these sides is significant. Arsenal average 16.1 shots per game compared to Tottenham's 9.2, and they dominate possession with 59.3% versus Tottenham's 50.3%. While Tottenham showed they can score with a 4-0 win over FC Copenhagen and 3-0 victory against Everton, those results came against weaker opposition. Historically, Arsenal has had the edge in this fixture with 6 wins from 9 meetings, including a strong home record against their rivals. However, recent encounters have been closely contested, suggesting Tottenham won't make it easy. The key question for bettors is whether Arsenal's defensive fortress can withstand Tottenham's attacking threat. Given Arsenal's incredible defensive record - especially at home where they haven't conceded a single goal in 5 matches - and Tottenham's inconsistent away form, the smart money appears to be on a low-scoring affair. Key Points: • Arsenal have conceded just 3 goals in 10 games (0.3 per game) with 8 clean sheets • Arsenal are perfect at home in their last 5 games with 0 goals conceded • Tottenham have lost 3 of their last 10 games and struggle away from home • Arsenal average 16.1 shots per game vs Tottenham's 9.2 • Head-to-head favors Arsenal with 6 wins from 9 meetings • Arsenal's defensive form suggests a low-scoring game is likely The value here lies with the Under 2.5 goals market. While Arsenal are prolific scorers at home, their defensive record is simply too good to ignore. Tottenham's away scoring record isn't strong enough to suggest they'll breach Arsenal's defense multiple times, and Arsenal's disciplined approach should keep the goals down despite their attacking prowess.