Morecambe vs Solihull Moors Prediction - 24th January 2026

The National League serves up a classic clash of styles this weekend as relegation-threatened Morecambe welcome the in-form Solihull Moors to their home ground. On paper, this looks like a mismatch, but the head-to-head history and recent patterns suggest we could be in for an entertaining, goal-filled encounter. Morecambe find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 23rd in the table with just 21 points from 26 games. Their recent form makes for grim reading, with only two wins in their last ten outings. At home, the picture is even bleaker: they haven't won any of their last four matches at their own ground, managing just two draws and two defeats while scoring a paltry three goals. Their 2-2 draw against high-flying Scunthorpe shows they can compete, but heavy defeats like the 6-2 loss to Kidderminster Harriers and a 3-0 home loss to Boston United highlight their defensive vulnerabilities. They average just 0.75 goals per game at home while conceding 1.75, a combination that spells trouble against a free-scoring opponent. Solihull Moors, in contrast, are flying. Sitting comfortably in 10th place, they've lost just once in their last ten matches, picking up four wins and five draws. The most striking statistic is their attacking output: they've netted a remarkable 28 goals in those ten games, averaging 2.80 per match. Their recent results include a 5-1 demolition of Aldershot Town, a 7-1 thrashing of Tamworth, and a 4-1 victory over Sutton United. Even in their sole defeat, they only lost 2-1 to the formidable Boreham Wood. While their away form shows a more modest record of one win, one draw, and one loss from their last three trips, they've still managed to score 2.33 goals per game on the road. The head-to-head history between these two sides is limited but explosive. Their only two meetings have finished 4-4 and 2-2, with both teams scoring in both games and over 2.5 goals landing comfortably each time. This pattern aligns perfectly with Solihull Moors' current trend, where both teams have scored in a staggering 90% of their last ten matches. Morecambe, while less prolific, have still found the net in six of their last ten games, including against strong sides like Scunthorpe. When we look at the goal expectancies, the numbers point towards an open game. The Poisson model suggests an expected goal output of around 3.08 total goals, heavily weighted towards the visitors. Morecambe's defensive record at home, coupled with Solihull's potent attack, suggests the away side will likely score multiple times. The key question is whether Morecambe can contribute, and given Solihull's tendency to concede (they've kept just one clean sheet in ten) and Morecambe's occasional sparks of life upfront, the answer appears to be yes. **Key Points:** * Morecambe are winless in their last four home games, scoring just 0.75 goals per game on average. * Solihull Moors have scored 28 goals in their last ten matches, averaging 2.80 per game. * Both teams have scored in 90% of Solihull Moors' last ten fixtures. * The only two previous meetings between these sides finished 4-4 and 2-2. * Morecambe have conceded in 8 of their last 10 games; Solihull have conceded in 9 of their last 10. **Summary & Betting Verdict:** The data paints a clear picture. Solihull Moors are the form team and should control this game, but their defensive record suggests they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet. Morecambe, while struggling, have shown they can score, especially against teams that concede chances. With odds of 1.53 for Both Teams to Score - Yes, we are getting solid value on a market that has landed in 9 of Solihull's last 10 games and in both historic meetings. This is the smart play for this fixture.