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J2 League

Ehime FC vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction - 23rd November 2025

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 07:00
Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.80
Implied Probability
55.6%
Expected Value
+8%

Bottom-Table Battle: Roasso to Capitalize on Ehime's Home Woes

Analysis

This J2 League clash pits the league's worst side Ehime FC against a struggling Roasso Kumamoto side, but the data points strongly toward an away victory. Ehime FC are rock bottom with just 21 points from 36 games, and their home form has been nothing short of disastrous. They've failed to win any of their last 5 home matches (0W, 1D, 4L), scoring a paltry 0.60 goals per game while shipping 2.40 goals per game at their own ground. Recent results paint a grim picture for the hosts - heavy defeats like 0-4 against V-varen Nagasaki, 1-3 to Jubilo Iwata, and 1-3 to Mito Hollyhock show their defensive frailties. Their only win in 10 games came away from home (3-0 at Oita Trinita), highlighting just how poor they've been in front of their own fans. Roasso Kumamoto, while not setting the world alight, sit 17th with 35 points and have shown slightly better form. Their away record, though modest (1W, 2D, 3L in last 6 away games), is vastly superior to Ehime's home record. They're averaging 1.00 goal scored and 1.67 conceded on the road - much better defensive numbers than their hosts. The head-to-head record favors Roasso (5 wins to 3), and while Ehime has won 2 of 4 home meetings in this fixture, their current form makes that history irrelevant. Both teams have defensive issues, but Roasso's attack has been slightly more productive, and they're facing a side that's conceded 22 goals in their last 10 games. With Ehime's home win percentage at 0% and Roasso's away form showing they can at least compete on the road, the away win at 1.80 offers solid value in what should be a straightforward victory for the visitors.