Superettan
GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK Prediction - 20th September 2026
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 11:00Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.90
Implied Probability
52.6%
Expected Value
+24%
GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK: Ljungskile to Prevail
Analysis
GIF Sundsvall enters this Superettan fixture in a precarious position, currently languishing at the bottom of the table in 16th place. Their recent form has been underwhelming, managing only two wins in their last ten outings, resulting in a meager win rate of 20.00%. More concerning for bettors is their defensive fragility; the team has conceded an average of 1.80 goals per game over their last ten matches, while struggling significantly to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.40 goals per game. This creates a significant disparity between the two sides.
In contrast, Ljungskile SK occupies a much more stable position in the middle of the pack, currently sitting in 11th place. While not a dominant force, they offer a much more balanced profile. Ljungskile has managed to maintain a respectable goal difference of -2 over their last 10 games, scoring 11 times and conceding 13. Their away form is particularly noteworthy, as they have managed to average 1.25 goals scored and hold opponents to just 1.00 goal per game on the road. This defensive stability is a key factor when facing a team as porous as GIF Sundsvall.
The statistical gap between the two sides is evident. GIF Sundsvall’s home performance has been inconsistent, with a win rate of only 25.00% in their last four home games. They have struggled to maintain defensive shape, allowing 1.50 goals per game at home. Ljungskile SK, meanwhile, brings a more organized approach. Their 30.00% win rate over the last 10 games, combined with their ability to secure draws against top-tier opposition like IFK Norrkoping, suggests they have the tactical maturity to handle a struggling Sundsvall side.
When looking at the head-to-head, the results are split, but the recent trend favors the visitors. In their most recent meeting, Ljungskile SK secured a 1-0 victory over GIF Sundsvall. Given Sundsvall's inability to convert chances and their tendency to concede multiple goals, Ljungskile's ability to strike on the counter-attack or maintain possession should be the deciding factor. The visitors are expected to control the tempo and exploit the gaps left by a defense that has been leaky throughout the season.
Key Points:
- GIF Sundsvall is in 16th place with a poor 20.00% win rate in their last 10 games.
- Sundsvall's defense is a major liability, conceding 1.80 goals per game recently.
- Ljungskile SK is more consistent, sitting in 11th place with a 30.00% win rate.
- Ljungskile SK's away goal production (1.25) is significantly higher than Sundsvall's scoring (0.40).
- The visitors won the most recent head-to-head encounter 1-0.
Recommended Bet: Away Win