League One
Doncaster vs Peterborough Prediction - 29th November 2025
Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 15:00Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
3.20
Implied Probability
31.3%
Expected Value
+34%
Peterborough's Hot Form Makes Them Value Away Win
Analysis
This League One clash pits two struggling sides against each other, but the recent form data tells a very different story for each team. While both sit in the bottom half of the table, Peterborough arrive with momentum that suggests they're ready to climb the standings.
Doncaster's recent form has been inconsistent at best. In their last 10 games, they've managed just 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 13 goals while conceding 11. Their home record is particularly concerning - only 25% win rate in their last 4 home games, where they're conceding 1.5 goals per game. Recent results include a respectable 0-0 draw against league leaders Stevenage, but also disappointing losses to Lincoln (2-1) and Barnsley (1-2) at home.
Peterborough, by contrast, have been in excellent form. Their last 10 games show 6 wins, 1 draw, and only 3 losses, with an impressive 18 goals scored and just 8 conceded. They've been particularly solid defensively away from home, conceding only 0.75 goals per game on their travels. Recent performances have been standout - a 3-0 demolition of Stockport County (5th place), a 5-0 thrashing of AFC Wimbledon (9th place), and a 1-0 FA Cup victory over Cardiff (2nd place). Even their recent 0-1 loss to Stevenage was narrow against the league leaders.
The head-to-head record slightly favors Doncaster at home (2W, 1D, 1L), but these historical results are less relevant given Peterborough's current form surge. The goal expectancy data also points to Peterborough as slight favorites (1.25 vs 1.12 expected goals).
Peterborough's defensive record is particularly compelling - they've kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games (50% rate) and have been solid on the road. Against a Doncaster side that's struggled to convert home advantage into points, Peterborough's superior form and defensive organization should give them the edge.
The only concern is Peterborough's slightly heavier schedule (3 games vs 2 in the last 14 days) and less recovery time (4 days vs 7), but their form suggests they have the momentum to overcome this fatigue factor.