Serie B
Avellino vs Empoli Prediction - 22nd November 2025
Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 14:00Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.91
Implied Probability
52.4%
Expected Value
+11%
Avellino vs Empoli: Both Teams To Score Value Pick
Analysis
This Serie B clash between Avellino and Empoli presents an intriguing betting opportunity, with both sides sitting in mid-table and separated by just two points. The data suggests we're in for an entertaining encounter with goals at both ends.
Avellino comes into this match with mixed recent form, showing they can both blow teams away and get blown out themselves. Their 4-3 victory over Reggiana and 4-3 win at Carrarese demonstrate their attacking prowess, but the 0-4 home defeat to Spezia and 0-3 loss at Cesena highlight defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they've been solid with a 60% win rate, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game.
Empoli's story is one of inconsistency, particularly on their travels. They've managed just one win in their last five away games, conceding an alarming 2.2 goals per game on the road. Their attacking output drops significantly away from home too, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. Recent results include a 4-0 thrashing at Pescara and a 2-1 loss at Modena.
The head-to-head record is limited but telling - both meetings saw both teams find the net, with Avellino winning 3-2 at home in their last encounter. Both teams have defensive issues that should be exploitable, with Avellino conceding 1.6 goals per game at home and Empoli shipping 2.2 per game away.
Statistical analysis shows Avellino averages 11.2 shots per game at home with 38% accuracy, while Empoli manages 10 shots away with just 33.1% accuracy. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and the goal expectancy of 1.90 for Avellino and 1.20 for Empoli suggests we could see multiple goals.
Given both sides' defensive frailties and Avellino's home attacking advantage, Both Teams To Score looks like excellent value at 1.91.