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League Two

Tranmere vs Oldham Prediction - 7th March 2026

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 15:00
Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.20
Implied Probability
45.5%
Expected Value
+10%

Oldham to Extend Tranmere's Misery at Prenton Park

Analysis

League Two action sees 19th-placed Tranmere host 14th-placed Oldham on Saturday, with the two sides heading in starkly opposite directions. While the hosts are embroiled in a relegation battle having won just once in their last ten outings, the visitors arrive at Prenton Park unbeaten in four and harboring playoff ambitions. Tranmere's recent form makes for grim reading. Nigel Adkins' side have suffered nine defeats in their last ten matches, picking up just three points from a possible thirty. Their solitary victory came against struggling Crawley Town (2-0), who sit 21st in the table with a paltry 0.80 points per game average. Against stronger opposition, Tranmere have been brutally exposed, shipping five against Notts County, four against Cambridge United, and three against both Newport County and Walsall. Defensively, they've conceded 23 goals in this ten-game stretch (2.30 per game), while managing just 0.80 at the other end. Their home record offers little comfort either, with three defeats in their last four at Prenton Park including a 1-0 loss to Accrington and a 2-0 reverse against Salford City. Oldham, by contrast, are enjoying a productive spell. The Latics are unbeaten in their last four matches, a run that includes a hard-fought 0-0 draw at league leaders Bromley and convincing home wins against Crawley Town (2-0) and Bristol Rovers (2-0). Most impressive was their 3-0 demolition of Gillingham away from home, showcasing their ability to perform on the road against mid-table opposition. Defensively, Oldham have been solid, keeping four clean sheets in their last ten games (40% clean sheet rate) and conceding just 1.20 goals per game during this period. Their shot accuracy of 45.1% significantly outstrips Tranmere's 33.1%, suggesting greater efficiency in the final third. The reverse fixture back in December ended 3-1 to Oldham, and given the trajectory both teams have taken since, there's little to suggest a different outcome here. While Tranmere have historically held their own in this fixture with a 50% home win rate against Oldham, current form overwhelmingly favors the visitors. Oldham's improving trends across goals scored, goals conceded, and points accumulated contrast sharply with Tranmere's declining metrics in all three areas. Key Points: - Tranmere have lost 9 of their last 10 matches, winning only against 21st-placed Crawley Town - Oldham are unbeaten in their last 4 games, including a clean sheet away at league leaders Bromley - Oldham won the reverse fixture 3-1 in December and have taken 11 points more than Tranmere this season - Tranmere conceding 2.30 goals per game over the last 10 matches with just 1 clean sheet (10%) - Oldham have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 games and concede just 1.20 per game Summary: The form gap between these two sides is cavernous. Tranmere's defensive frailties and lack of confidence make them vulnerable against an Oldham side finding their rhythm at the right time. At 2.20, the away win represents solid value given the visitors' superior quality and momentum. Back Oldham to take all three points.