Süper Lig
Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor Prediction - 17th April 2026
Friday, April 17, 2026 at 17:00Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.15
Implied Probability
46.5%
Expected Value
+8%
Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor - Betting Preview
Analysis
The Süper Lig continues with a mid-table clash between Antalyaspor and Konyaspor on April 17, 2026. Antalyaspor sits 14th with 28 points, while Konyaspor is 10th with 34 points. The form book heavily favors the visitors. Konyaspor has won 5 of their last 10 games, averaging 1.3 goals per game and conceding just 0.8. In contrast, Antalyaspor has only won 2 of their last 10, conceding 1.6 goals per game. This defensive disparity is crucial.
Head-to-head history shows a tight rivalry, with 6 draws in the last 10 meetings. However, the most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favor of Konyaspor at Antalyaspor's home ground. Antalyaspor's home defense is a major concern; they have conceded 1.8 goals per game at home recently. Konyaspor's away attack averages 1.2 goals per game, which should be enough to exploit the home side's defensive leaks.
The betting markets reflect a close contest, with the Away Win priced at 2.15. Given Konyaspor's superior form and Antalyaspor's defensive frailty, the implied probability of 46.5% appears undervalued. Antalyaspor's home record against Konyaspor is mixed, but the current form gap is significant. Antalyaspor has failed to score in 4 of their last 10 games, while Konyaspor has found the net in 8 of their last 10.
Goal expectancy models suggest a total of 3.10 goals, but the H2H trend leans towards Under 2.5. However, Antalyaspor's home goal environment is high (3.6 total goals per game average). Despite this, the most reliable signal is Konyaspor's consistency. They have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 games compared to Antalyaspor's 2.
Based on the data, the Away Win offers the best value. Antalyaspor's recent 6 losses in 10 games contrast sharply with Konyaspor's 5 wins. The odds of 2.15 provide a positive expected value for the visitor's victory. Antalyaspor's recent home results include a 4-2 loss to Beşiktaş and a 1-4 loss to Gaziantep FK, highlighting defensive issues. Konyaspor's recent away results include a 2-1 win over Alanyaspor and a 1-0 win over Eyüpspor, showing they can grind out results on the road.