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Championship

Coventry vs Charlton Prediction - 29th November 2025

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 15:00
Prediction
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.80
Implied Probability
55.6%
Expected Value
+4%

Coventry's Goal Fest Expected vs Struggling Charlton

Analysis

The Championship leaders Coventry host a Charlton side struggling for form, and the data points towards another high-scoring affair at Coventry's home ground. The hosts have been absolutely relentless this season, sitting top of the table with 40 points from 17 games, and their recent form is nothing short of spectacular with 9 wins from their last 10 matches. Coventry's attacking prowess has been the story of their season. They're averaging 2.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches, with their home form particularly impressive - they've won 100% of their last 4 home games while scoring 2.75 goals per game at home. Recent results showcase their dominance: a 4-2 thrashing of third-placed Middlesbrough, a 5-0 demolition of Sheffield Wednesday, and a 4-0 victory at Millwall. They're creating plenty of chances too, averaging 17.5 shots per game with 6.5 on target. Charlton, meanwhile, find themselves in 14th place and their form has taken a nosedive. They've managed just 3 wins from their last 10 games, and their away record is particularly concerning with only one win in their last six away trips. They're struggling to score on the road, averaging just 0.83 goals per game away from home, while conceding 1.33 per game. Recent results include a 3-0 loss at Stoke City and a 1-5 home thrashing by Southampton, showing defensive vulnerabilities. The head-to-head record between these sides suggests goals, with 3 of the 4 previous meetings seeing over 2.5 goals. Given Coventry's current form - they've scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 games - and Charlton's defensive issues, this match has all the ingredients for another goal-fest. Key Points: • Coventry have won 90% of their last 10 games, scoring 29 goals • Coventry are perfect in their last 4 home games (100% win rate) • Charlton have won just 30% of their last 10 games • Charlton average only 0.83 goals scored away from home • 3 of 4 previous H2H meetings had over 2.5 goals • Coventry have scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches The value here lies with the goals market rather than the straightforward home win. Coventry's attacking statistics combined with Charlton's defensive frailties make over 2.5 goals the most appealing bet at 1.80.