Cambuur vs Roda Prediction - 13th March 2026

Cambuur's relentless pursuit of the Eerste Divisie title faces a crucial test as they welcome mid-table Roda. Sitting second with 66 points—just two adrift of leaders ADO Den Haag with a game in hand—the hosts are in blistering form with eight wins from their last ten outings. The home side's recent resume reads like a champion's checklist. They've dispatched Almere City 3-2, ground out a professional 1-0 win against Jong Utrecht last time out, and most impressively, conquered league leaders ADO Den Haag 2-1 on the road in mid-January. That victory announced their credentials loud and clear. At home, they've been virtually impregnable, winning 80% of their last five and conceding a miserly 0.80 goals per game while netting 2.20 at the other end. Roda arrive in contrasting mood. The visitors sit sixth with 46 points but have stumbled recently, managing just three wins from their last ten matches. Their defensive frailties are particularly concerning—2.20 goals conceded per game during this stretch—with a humbling 3-7 friendly defeat to Schalke 04 II still fresh in the memory, though they did show resilience in a 2-2 draw at Den Bosch last time out. Interestingly, Roda's away form presents a paradox. They've won 40% of their last five road trips and actually score more away from home (2.20 per game) than at their own ground. However, their away defense leaks 2.60 goals per game, which against Cambuur's prolific attack spells danger. The head-to-head record offers Roda some hope—it's perfectly balanced at three wins apiece with three draws—but Cambuur's home dominance in this fixture is telling. They're unbeaten in four home meetings against Roda (2 wins, 2 draws), and given the current form gap, that trend looks set to continue. Statistical models suggest a high-scoring affair with goal expectancies of 2.40 for the hosts and 1.50 for the visitors. While Roda's away scoring record suggests they might find the net, Cambuur's defensive solidity at home—coupled with Roda's tendency to concede over two goals per game recently—points toward a controlled home victory. **Key Points:** • Cambuur have won 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.00 goals per game • The hosts boast an 80% home win rate with just 0.80 goals conceded per game • Roda have managed only 3 wins in their last 10, conceding 2.20 goals per game • Cambuur defeated league leaders ADO Den Haag 2-1 away in January • Goal expectancies favor the hosts at 2.40 vs Roda's 1.50 **Summary:** Cambuur's title charge shows no signs of slowing. With superior form, home advantage, and Roda's defensive struggles, the home win at 1.67 represents the best value in a match where the quality gap should tell.