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2. Liga

First Vienna vs Rapid Wien II Prediction - 21st November 2025

Friday, November 21, 2025 at 19:30
Prediction
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.75
Implied Probability
57.1%
Expected Value
+5%

Vienna Derby: Goals Expected in Mid-Table Clash

Analysis

This Austrian 2. Liga encounter between two closely matched sides promises plenty of attacking action despite their mid-table positions. First Vienna hosts Rapid Wien II with just a single point separating them in the standings, but the form guide tells a more interesting story. The hosts have been struggling desperately on their own patch, failing to win any of their last five home matches (0W, 1D, 4L) while shipping 2.2 goals per game at home. Their recent results include a 2-3 home defeat against SKU Amstetten and a 1-3 loss to second-placed Admira Wacker, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities against quality opposition. Rapid Wien II, meanwhile, have found their groove away from home, winning 50% of their away fixtures while averaging 2.0 goals scored per game on their travels. Their recent form shows momentum building with back-to-back victories - a 2-1 win over Austria Klagenfurt followed by an impressive 4-0 demolition of Stripfing. The head-to-head record favors First Vienna historically (4-2-2), particularly at home where they've won 66.67% of encounters. However, their last meeting ended 0-1 to Rapid Wien II, and crucially, 75% of their eight previous meetings have produced over 2.5 goals. Both teams average over 1.3 goals per game overall, and when you combine First Vienna's leaky home defense (2.2 conceded) with Rapid Wien II's potent away attack (2.0 scored), the goal expectancy of 3.25 looks well-founded. The data points strongly toward another high-scoring affair in this Vienna derby. Key Points: • First Vienna winless in last 5 home games (0W, 1D, 4L) • Rapid Wien II averaging 2.0 goals scored away from home • 75% of head-to-head meetings have gone over 2.5 goals • Combined goal expectancy stands at 3.25 goals • Both teams have 50% both teams to score rates With both sides showing defensive frailties and attacking intent, the over 2.5 goals market offers excellent value at 1.75 odds. The statistical evidence strongly supports a goal-filled encounter.