Livingston vs Aberdeen Prediction - 30th November 2025

This Sunday's Premiership fixture presents an intriguing betting opportunity between bottom-placed Livingston and mid-table Aberdeen. The data tells a compelling story that points toward both teams finding the net. Livingston's recent form has been concerning, sitting rock bottom with just 8 points from 13 games. However, their attacking output shouldn't be underestimated. They've scored in 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging exactly 1.00 goal per game. More tellingly, they've seen both teams score in 80% of their recent fixtures, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities alongside their attacking intent. At home specifically, they've netted 1.25 goals per game while conceding 2.00, suggesting an open approach. Aberdeen arrive with superior form, accumulating 14 points from 12 games. Their defensive record stands out with 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches (60%), and they've limited opponents to just 1.20 goals per game. However, their away scoring has been a concern, averaging only 0.50 goals on the road. That said, recent results show improvement - they've scored in their last three Premiership matches, including a crucial 1-0 victory over league leaders Hearts. The head-to-head record slightly favors Aberdeen (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), but the most recent meeting ended 0-0. Interestingly, 3 of the 8 previous encounters have seen both teams score. The key statistical insight lies in the contrasting styles: Livingston's leaky defense (1.90 goals conceded per game) versus Aberdeen's defensive solidity but away scoring struggles. With Livingston averaging 1.25 goals at home and Aberdeen showing recent attacking improvement, the conditions align for both teams to score. The goal expectancy model projects 1.38 goals for Livingston and 1.25 for Aberdeen, supporting the both teams to score narrative. At odds of 1.75, this represents solid value given Livingston's 80% BTTS rate and Aberdeen's recent scoring form.