Norwich vs QPR Prediction - 29th November 2025

This Championship clash pits the league's bottom side Norwich against a mid-table QPR side, and the data points overwhelmingly toward a low-scoring encounter. Norwich are in absolutely dreadful form, sitting 23rd with just 10 points from 17 games and having gone 10 matches without a single victory. Their attacking output is virtually non-existent, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, and at home, that drops to a paltry 0.4 goals per game. Even more concerning is their defensive record - zero clean sheets in their last 10 matches. QPR, while not setting the world alight, offer a stark contrast in defensive solidity. They've kept clean sheets in 40% of their recent matches and have been particularly impressive away from home, conceding just 0.4 goals per away game. Their recent away form includes a 1-0 victory at Swansea and a 2-1 win at Bristol City, demonstrating they can grind out results on the road. The head-to-head record between these sides historically favors Norwich, but recent meetings have been tight affairs. Five of their last eight encounters have produced under 2.5 goals, including their most recent 1-1 draw. The goal expectancy data projects just 1.40 total goals for this match, which aligns perfectly with both teams' recent scoring patterns. Norwich's recent results tell the story of their struggles - they've managed just two draws in their last 10 games, both 1-1 results against struggling opposition in Oxford United and Sheffield Wednesday. Their other eight matches have all ended in defeat, with multiple instances of failing to score. QPR, while not prolific scorers themselves (0.9 goals per game), have shown enough defensive quality to suggest they can contain Norwich's toothless attack. The betting market appears to have this one right - Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 offers excellent value given the statistical evidence. Both teams' recent form, defensive records, and historical meetings all point toward a tight, low-scoring game where goals will be at a premium.